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Unemployment claims drop sharply

18,000 fewer sought benefits last week

People wait in line to attend a job fair in New York. Some economists believe the housing slump and credit crisis have pushed the economy into recession. For that reason, they believe layoffs will increase. People wait in line to attend a job fair in New York. Some economists believe the housing slump and credit crisis have pushed the economy into recession. For that reason, they believe layoffs will increase. (Mark Lennihan/Associated Press)
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Associated Press / May 9, 2008

WASHINGTON - The number of newly laid off workers seeking unemployment benefits dropped much more than expected last week.

The Labor Department reported yesterday that applications for initial unemployment benefits fell to 365,000, a decline of 18,000 from the previous week. Economists had been looking for a much smaller decrease of around 5,000.

However, the biggest increase in claims was in Massachusetts, with a rise of 5,591 that was attributed to higher layoffs in transportation, services, and public administration.

Weekly jobless claims have been exceptionally volatile in recent weeks because of strike-related layoffs in the auto industry and an early Easter, which has played havoc with the government's seasonal adjustment measurements.

Many economists believe a prolonged housing slump and severe credit crisis have pushed the economy into recession. For that reason, they believe layoffs will rise in coming months and the unemployment rate will go higher.

Ian Shepherdson, chief US economist for High Frequency Economics, said that even with the improvement this week, claims are now at a level equal to where they were at the start of the last recession in March 2001. He predicted that layoffs would increase in coming months.

However, many economists believe job losses will be less severe than in previous recessions because they are expecting this downturn to be relatively mild and brief. The Bush administration is counting on 130 million economic stimulus payments to boost consumer spending and trigger a rebound in growth starting this summer.

The Labor Department reported last week that employers cut jobs for a fourth straight month, often a sign of a recession, but the job loss of 20,000 was much smaller than had been expected and was well below the 81,000 jobs lost in March.

In other economic news, consumers gave retailers some relief in April after a long stretch of dismal sales. Early reports from the nation's big chain stores showed customers bought the basics at discounters and wholesale clubs, putting Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Costco Wholesale Corp. among the top performers last month.

Analysts predicted the flood of rebate checks will boost sales in coming months, helping to offset soaring gasoline prices and falling home values.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and other administration officials fanned out to government check printing centers around the country yesterday to highlight that stimulus checks were starting to be mailed out.

"By the end of May, we will have pumped almost $50 billion into the economy and another $50 billion will follow. By early July, about 130 million households will have almost $100 billion of payments in hand," Paulson said after visiting a check processing facility in Kansas City.

The report on jobless claims showed the total number of laid off workers receiving benefits dipped slightly to 3.02 million for the week ending April 26 but remained above the 3 million-mark for the second straight week.

For the week ending April 26, 32 states and territories had a drop in initial claims while 21 had increases.

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