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Wal-Mart gains after refocusing on cost-cutting

Effort at US stores lifts profit in 4th quarter past $4b

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Associated Press / February 20, 2008

The world's largest retailer reported net profit in the quarter ended Jan. 31 rose to $4.096 billion, or $1.02 per share, from $3.94 billion, or 95 cents a share, a year earlier. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. said net sales grew 8.3 percent to $106.27 billion, helped by 18.8 percent international growth and 5 percent growth at US Wal-Marts.

Stores in 13 countries outside the United States accounted for about 25 percent of total company sales in the fourth quarter, up from 23 percent a year earlier.

The most recent profit included a charge of 3 cents per share for dropped real estate projects and restructuring its Japanese operation as well as a 1 cent per share gain from real estate sales. Minus the charges, earnings would have been $1.04 per share.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected profit of $1.02 per share on revenue of $106.9 billion.

For the fiscal year ended Jan. 31, earnings were $12.73 billion, or $3.13 a share, up from $11.28 billion, or $2.71, a year earlier. Net sales rose 8.6 percent to $374.53 billion. Overall revenue rose to $378.80 billion from $348.65 billion a year ago.

Defying the gloom that many retailers are feeling, Wal-Mart expects a more profitable year selling to penny-pinching shoppers after its renewed focus on low prices paid off over the holidays with a 4 percent rise in fourth-quarter profit.

Emerging from a yearlong turnaround effort after sales stumbled in 2005 and 2006, Wal-Mart said yesterday that aggressive holiday discounts and improvements in its more than 4,000 US stores boosted sales despite consumer worries.

"No one has a crystal ball to look into the economic future, but we know the economy will be a critical factor this year," chief executive Lee Scott said in a recorded call after releasing results.

Scott said Wal-Mart's decision to reemphasize low prices last year came at the right time and added: "In a volatile economy, I believe we are well positioned to succeed."

Chief financial officer Tom Schoewe said Wal-Mart expects a spending boost as consumers receive income tax rebates under the economic stimulus plan.

"When those checks have been issued in the past, we've experienced [spending] either equal to or indexed a little bit higher than our overall market share," Schoewe said. "The customer is under pressure and they want to make that dollar last as long as they can."

Wal-Mart forecast earnings per share for the current fiscal year that ends Jan. 31, 2009 of $3.30 to $3.43, or growth of 4.4 to 8.5 percent compared to just over 8 percent in fiscal 2008. The analyst consensus for full-year earnings per share was $3.43, according to Thomson Financial.

Goldman Sachs said in a research note that Wal-Mart had therefore set a midpoint in its forecast range that was short of the consensus but called it "a prudent move given today's challenging environment."

Analysts said Wal-Mart has several unique factors, including the scale of its grocery business that can bring in traffic for other areas of the store, so its optimism for the year ahead is not necessarily an indicator for the broader retail sector.

"If I was grading them, I would give Wal-Mart a 'B.' Unfortunately the rest of retail is getting a 'C-minus.' So on the bell curve they look like a shining example," said Patricia Edwards from investment manager Wentworth Hauser and Violich, which has about 400,000 Wal-Mart shares.

As major US retailers report fourth-quarter earnings, the industry is bracing for its bleakest times since the 1991 recession. Other merchants have closed stores, laid off thousands, scaled back expansions, or pared inventories as consumer spending screeches to a halt.

Rising fuel costs are putting pressure on margins, said the head of Wal-Mart's US stores, Eduardo Castro-Wright. Diesel for the company's huge fleet of trucks rose about 25 percent a gallon last year and Castro-Wright called the issue a "potential headwind" for the year ahead.

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