Moody’s: Car sales, and loans, ‘on fire’ as auto financing companies aggressively extend credit
Last week we learned that much of this year’s growth in the balance of consumer loans came from borrowing for school expenses. As we head into the fourth quarter, Moody’s Analytics is noticing an additional trend: a rise in auto lending.
In fact, auto lending is growing at the fastest pace in seven years, according to a recent report by Moody’s Analytics. Total outstanding debt on loan and leases increased last month by more than $50 billion, or 7 percent, to $767 billion from year-ago levels, said the company, which provides research and other financial tools to help companies measure and manage risk.
“Auto lending is on fire,” Cristian deRitis, senior director of consumer credit analytics for Moody’s Analytics, said in an interview. “It’s pent-up demand that built up during the recession.”
Sales of new automobiles fell off the cliff during the recession as people bought used cars or delayed purchases altogether, turning to repairs and proactive maintenance to extend the life of their vehicles, deRitis said. The average age of U.S. autos in circulation is at one of the highest points of the last couple of decades, he said.
But at some point it simply doesn’t make sense to repair an old car if it can be replaced with a new one at a relatively low price, and low rate of financing. Consumer confidence may be starting to turn enough that buyers are willing to step back into the market, deRitis said.
It probably helps that manufacturers are willing to aggressively pursue buyers and extend credit. Auto finance companies, many of which are owned by the manufacturers themselves, are dominating lending with low interest rate offers and extended loan terms. As a result, even borrowers with lower credit scores can get a loan. Almost 30 percent of auto finance company loans and leases are being extended to borrowers with a credit score of less than 620, Moody’s reported.
Auto finance companies are willing to take more risks than banks, which are still struggling with the aftermath of the recession, because they can weigh in the price of the car to offset their deals.
“Think about the auto manufacturers and the finance companies as one entity,” deRitis said. “With auto financing, auto manufacturers can play a game between the cost of the auto and the financing. Even if they lose a little on the financing, they can make it up by selling the car at a higher price. They might be able to undercut the banks and worry less about risk since they can make it up in the price of a car.”
Robust prices for used cars also help to reduce auto financing firms’ risk because even if an individual defaults on a loan, the value of the collateral is still relatively high, deRitis said.
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Christine Dunn has almost two decades of experience writing about finance and business issues. As founder and president of Savoir Media, she works with companies and executives on developing strategic, integrated media and marketing programs. Prior to starting her business, she worked at Bloomberg News, where she served as Boston Bureau Chief and ran industry coverage for several national teams of reporters, including consumer/retail, mutual funds and education. To reach her directly, email ChristineODunn@gmail.com or join her on Facebook at www.facebook.com/ChristineODunn.Recent blog posts
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