9 Scenarios to an Obama victory

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    9 Scenarios to an Obama victory

    There are already 237 electoral votes in his column which are safe (incl. PA!)

    Plus 12 more that appear to be locks (NV 6 and IA 6). He is 5 points ahead in those states.

    He will then need only 21 more votes.

    Option # 1 - FL 29
    Option # 2 - OH 18 + MI 10
    Option # 3 - OH 18 + NH 4
    Option # 4 - OH 18 + CO 9
    Option # 5 - MI 10 + NH 4 + CO 9
    Option # 6 - VA 13 + MI 10
    Option # 7 - VA 13 + CO 9

    This should frighten team Romney.

     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from BetheKoolaid. Show BetheKoolaid's posts

    Re: 9 Scenarios to an Obama victory

    What is frightening, is your claim NV and IA are "locks" for Obama...

    Latest two Iowa polls have a flat tie, and a 1 point Romney advantage.

    Latest Nevada poll has Obama up 3.

    PA is not safe for Obama, either.

    Virginia and Colorado clearly trending toward Romney...

     
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  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from BetheKoolaid. Show BetheKoolaid's posts

    Re: 9 Scenarios to an Obama victory

    Pennsylvania is the new Ohio....if Romney takes PA, game over.

     
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    Re: 9 Scenarios to an Obama victory

    In response to BetheKoolaid's comment:

    Pennsylvania is the new Ohio....if Romney takes PA, game over.




    Nate Silver analysis: 

    PA:  92% probability to Obama

    IA:  66% to Obama

    NV:  74% to Obama

    OH:  71% to Obama

    MI:  97% to Obama

    NH:  68% to Obama

    CO:  51% to Obama

    VA:  even

    FL:  68% to Romney

    -----------

    Bonus:  Warren 89% probability of Senate win

     
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    Re: 9 Scenarios to an Obama victory

    In response to Newtster's comment:



    It would appear so

     
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  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from BetheKoolaid. Show BetheKoolaid's posts

    Re: 9 Scenarios to an Obama victory

    In response to UserName99's comment:

    In response to BetheKoolaid's comment:

    Pennsylvania is the new Ohio....if Romney takes PA, game over.




    Nate Silver analysis: 

    PA:  92% probability to Obama

    IA:  66% to Obama

    NV:  74% to Obama

    OH:  71% to Obama

    MI:  97% to Obama

    NH:  68% to Obama

    CO:  51% to Obama

    VA:  even

    FL:  68% to Romney

    -----------

    Bonus:  Warren 89% probability of Senate win




    89% chance..going Nate Silver on us? Those percentage odds are worthless!

    Nate Silver is the liberal's binky,  to try to ignore the Mitt-mentum

    Until recently, Silver gave Obama a 65% chance of carrying Virginia....what did that mean, since he changed it again?

     Nate Silver predicted the day before the 2010 election, there was but a 30% chance the GOP would win over 60 House seats....the GOP got 64.

     There is a 95% chance the NY Times Obama cheerleader Nate Silver will go back to sports metrics after this...

     
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