How good was 538? 50 for 50!

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  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from Thesemenarecowards. Show Thesemenarecowards's posts

    Re: How good was 538? 50 for 50!

     Rasmussen on the other hand missed bad and missed often.

    They had Wisconsin even Obama won by 6.

    They had Iowa +1 for Romney, Obama won by 5.

    They had Colorado +3 for Romney, Obama won by 4.

    They had Virginia +2 for Romney, Obama won by 3.

    Notice a pattern?

     
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    Re: How good was 538? 50 for 50!

    Nate was pretty much spot on.. he took a lot of criticism and I guess now we know why. I have a feeling that Romney's inside polling numbers were not painting a good picture for him..which is why he went to PA and OH again on election day.

     
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    Re: How good was 538? 50 for 50!

    Remarkable

     
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    Re: How good was 538? 50 for 50!

    So wasn't VOTAMATIC and Sam Wang of Princeton. 

     
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    Re: How good was 538? 50 for 50!

    Obviously Nate's model has a liberal bias

     
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    Re: How good was 538? 50 for 50!

    It wasn't just Nate Silver, though - the polls in general were very good.  The RCP no toss-ups was right about every state but FL, which they gave to Romney +1.5.  Rasmussen and Gallup should be embarrassed today, but the polling in general was pretty accurate.

    But Dick Morris and Karl Rove should be laughed out of the business.  If you fork up that badly, that should be the last time anybody asks your opinion.

     
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    Re: How good was 538? 50 for 50!

    In response to slomag's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    It wasn't just Nate Silver, though - the polls in general were very good.  The RCP no toss-ups was right about every state but FL, which they gave to Romney +1.5.  Rasmussen and Gallup should be embarrassed today, but the polling in general was pretty accurate.

    But Dick Morris and Karl Rove should be laughed out of the business.  If you fork up that badly, that should be the last time anybody asks your opinion.

    [/QUOTE]

    You really expect those 2 to be accurate?

     
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