How The South Will Rise To Power Again

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    How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    This one's for airborne and sistersledge for their retro stereotypes of the Old South.. they are .."Living in the Past"

    How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    http://www.newgeography.com/content/003451-how-the-south-will-rise-to-power-again

    The common media view of the South is as a regressive region, full of overweight, prejudiced, exploited and undereducated numbskulls. Given the level of imbecility, maybe we’d be better off if the former Confederate states exiled themselves into their own redneck empire..

    Yet even as the old Confederacy’s political banner fades, its long-term economic prospects shine bright. This derives from factors largely outside the control of Washington: demographic trends, economic growth patterns, state business climates, flows of foreign investment and, finally and most surprisingly, a shift of educated workers and immigrants to an archipelago of fast-growing urban centers.

    Perhaps the most persuasive evidence lies with the strong and persistent inflow of Americans to the South. The South still attracts the most domestic migrants of any U.S. region. Last year, it boasted six of the top eight states in terms of net domestic migration — Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Tennessee, South Carolina and Georgia. Texas and Florida alone gained 250,000 net migrants. The top four losers were deep blue New York, Illinois, New Jersey and California.

    These trends suggest that the South will expand its dominance as the nation’s most populous region. In the 1950s, the South, the Northeast and the Midwest each had about the same number of people. Today the region is almost as populous as the Northeast and the Midwest combined.

    Perhaps more importantly, these states are nurturing families, in contrast to the Great Lakes states, the Northeast and California. Texas, for example, has increased its under 10 population by over 17% over the past decade; all the former confederate states, outside of Katrina-ravaged Mississippi and Louisiana, gained between 5% and 10%. On the flip side, under 10 populations declined in Illinois, Michigan, New York and California. Houston, Austin, Dallas, Charlotte, Atlanta and Raleigh also saw their child populations rise by at least twice the 10% rate of the rest country over the past decade while New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston and Chicago areas experienced declines.

    Why are people moving to what the media tends to see as a backwater? In part, it’s because economic growth in the South has outpaced the rest of the country for a generation and the area now constitutes by far the largest economic region in the country. A recent analysis by Trulia projects the edge will widen in the rest of this decade, sparked by such factors as lower costs and warmer weather.

    But some of this comes as a result of conscious policy. With their history of poverty and underdevelopment, Southern states are motivated to be business friendly. They generally have lower taxes, and less stringent regulations, than their primary competitors in the Northeast or on the West Coast. Indeed this year the four best states for business, according to CEO Magazine, were Texas, Florida, North Carolina and Tennessee. They are also much less unionized, an important factor for foreign and expanding domestic firms.

    Despite a tough time in the Great Recession, overall unemployment in the region now is less than in either the West or the Northeast. As manufacturing has recovered, employment has rebounded quicker in the Southeast than in the rival Great Lakes region.

    A portent of the future can be seen in new investment from U.S.-based and foreign companies. Last year Texas, Louisiana, Georgia and North Carolina were four of the six leading destinations for new corporate facilities.

    Some of this growth is centered on the automobile industry, which is increasingly focused on the southern tier from South Carolina to Alabama. The other big industrial expansion revolves around the unconventional oil and gas boom. The region that spans the Gulf Coast from Corpus Christi to New Orleans includes the country’s largest concentration of oil refineries and petrochemical facilities. In 2011 the two largest capital investments in North America — both tied to natural gas production — were in Louisiana.

    In the long run some critics suggest that the region’s historically lower education levels ensure that it will remain second-rate. Every state in the Southeast falls below the national average of the percentage of residents aged 25 and older with a bachelor’s degree.

    Yet the education gap is shrinking, particularly in the South’s growing metropolitan areas. Over the past decade, the number of college graduates in Austin and Charlotte grew by a remarkable 50%; Baton Rouge, Nashville, Houston, Tampa, Dallas and Atlanta all expanded their educated populations by 35% or more. (See “The U.S. Cities Getting Smarter The Fastest“) This easily eclipsed the performance of such “brain center” metropolitan areas as Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco or Chicago. Then there’s the question of critical mass; Atlanta alone added more than 300,000 residents with bachelor’s degrees over the past decade, more than Philadelphia and Miami and almost 70,000 more than Boston.

    Perhaps more revealing, an analysis by Praxis Strategy Group suggest a good portion of these new educated residents are coming from places such as greater New York, Boston, Chicago and Los Angeles. The South’s new breed of carpetbaggers increasingly bring diplomas, skills and high wage jobs with them. The main attraction: not only jobs, but lower housing prices, lower taxes and, overall, a more affordable quality of life.

    Rather than some comic-book version of a sleepy old south, the South’s dynamic metropolitan regions — not surprisingly, among the nation’s fastest growing — represent the real future of the region. They are becoming more diverse in every way. Houston and Dallas are already immigrant hotbeds; Nashville. Charlotte, Atlanta, Raleigh and Orlando all have among the nation’s fastest-growing foreign populations.

    Growth in the South, as elsewhere, is concentrated in their suburban rings but there’s also been something of central city revivals in Houston, Raleigh, Atlanta and Charlotte. Increasingly these places boast the amenities to compete with the bastions of hipness in everything from medicine and banking to technology and movies. The new owners of the New York Stock Exchange are based in Atlanta and some financial professionals are moving to low-tax states such as Florida.

     Over time, numbers like these will have consequences politically, as well as culturally and economically. In the next half century, more Americans will be brought up Southern; the drawls may be softer, and social values hopefully less constricted, but the cultural imprint and regional loyalties are likely to persist. Rather than fade way, expect Southern influence instead to grow over time. It is more likely that the culture of the increasingly child-free northern tier and the slow-growth coasts will, to evoke the past, be the ones gone with the wind.

     

     

     
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  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from bald-predictions. Show bald-predictions's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    The only problem with the south is there are too many Yankees there

     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from ComingLiberalCrackup. Show ComingLiberalCrackup's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    In response to airborne-rgr's comment:

    Stars and bars forever

     




    Godwin rule.........a KKK Democrat, no doubt.

    "Livng in the Past" per usual....

    The last hardworking private sector worker leaving Massachusetts for a good paying job in Texas with low taxes and cheap housing , leave the light on for Auntie Zenuiti , Uncle Omar and airborne.. and the thousands of public sector 'servants' ...

     
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  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from Sistersledge. Show Sistersledge's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    Slowly but surely the South will rise again ....as soon as there is enough northerns transplants in the South who will bring with them an open mindedness and a sense of fairness. They will combined with the many progressive thinking southerners who live there already. This combination will become a large progressive voting bloc and they will throw those other bums out and then and only then will the South be able to discourage all type of prejudices that exist in the South today and the South then will be able to live in harmony with the rest of the country.

     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from BilltheKat. Show BilltheKat's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    The south cant rise to power because the have no power to rise to.

    Unless they succeed from America, fugettaboutit.

    Still livin' the slave dream down there. How pathetic.

     
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  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from Firewind. Show Firewind's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    In response to bald-predictions' comment:

    The only problem with the south is there are too many Yankees there



    "There" you go again.  What part of Florida don't you live in?

     
  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from Firewind. Show Firewind's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    In response to ComingLiberalCrackup's comment:

    [...]

    carpetbaggers

    [...]

    BetheKoolaid/ComingLiberalCrackup, do you consider yourself to be among them, or have you finished molting?



     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from Firewind. Show Firewind's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    In response to airborne-rgr's comment:

    ...The third largest component of GDP in Texas is the gov't sector which contributes 11% of all the wealth of Texas.......



    Which was actually the second first thing that sunk Gov. Perry's candidacy.

     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from Firewind. Show Firewind's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    In response to ComingLiberalCrackup's comment:

     Over time, numbers like these will have consequences politically, as well as culturally and economically. In the next half century, more Americans will be brought up Southern; the drawls may be softer, and social values hopefully less constricted, but the cultural imprint and regional loyalties are likely to persist. Rather than fade way, expect Southern influence instead to grow over time. It is more likely that the culture of the increasingly child-free northern tier and the slow-growth coasts will, to evoke the past, be the ones gone with the wind.

    The polemic delivered by our dutiful Virginian is weighty and tendentious (very) largely because of its length.  But in the end it seems not to be very self aware.  When one looks at the examples, the university cities for example, is it really the southern values that are rising, or are values from "outside" (the article and OP draw the dichotomy) infiltrating the south?  (True, some, such as the OP clearly moved there in part because they are more comfortable in an old south values milieu.)

    In business travel, I've long observed some of the phenomena described here in Atlanta -- a thriving black business and intellectual community, as one example.An example of the old south rising?  The article doesn't mention the Braves and the Olympics.  The old south rising?  I'll add an example to the article's:  Bank of America moved its headquarters to Charlotte.  The old south rising?  These examples, and the article's, don't necessarily carry the case.

    More recently, a high school buddy, now a Delta pilot, moved to Atlanta.  "Why?"  "It's so damn cheap!"  Including black labor.  And the winters are milder.  And, thank you, air conditioning.  He's listened for a soft southern drawl in his kids, but he, and I, haven't heard one.  When one looks at his community, his kids, their schools, one thinks more of a modern version of Downton Abbey. 

    One big hole in the commentary's case is that it barely mentions in passing the effects of Hispanic growth.  

    I suggest that republicans swallow this case hook line and sinker at their peril.  But they will, as does our Massachusettsan Virginian, hopefully.



     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from MattyScornD. Show MattyScornD's posts

    Re: How The South Will Rise To Power Again

    I moved to Florida from Mass for about 5 years after college.

    The sun was nice.  The heat and most everything else were not.

    If not for family or business, I wouldn't have a reason to visit the south much at all (ex. New Orleans).

    But then, my northern-based company has expanded some operations into the south, so my stock holdings have benefitted just the same.  Thanks, y'all.

    The south could rise like my mother-in-law's scratch buttermilk biscuits, but I wouldn't move back there until I'm too old to care any more.

    (Or I could move to Maine, our honorary South of the North)

     

     
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