Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43%

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from BetheKoolaid. Show BetheKoolaid's posts

    Latest Rasmussen p...

    The daily polls dont mean too much...but at least debunk the media hype that Obama is a lock for reelection
    "Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama's numbers are almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. It is also important to check the details of question wording when comparing approval ratings from different firms. "

    President Obama now holds modest leads over Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum in combined polling of key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. The numbers mark a shift from late February when Obama was tied with both candidates in the four states. 
    Which is why VP hopefuls  are from FLA (Rubio) , OH (Portman) and VA (McDonnell)

     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from ZILLAGOD. Show ZILLAGOD's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    No one is ever a "lock" for re-election.

    Because voters do not have to take a competency test.

    Also the word "likely" appears in this post so frequently , it is 'likely" that these numbers are slightly inaccurate. Where "slightly" could refer to off by a mile. But, then "mile" is a relative term, too. If you are walikng a mile is a long way, if you are Tony Stewart , one mile away from victory, you can cover that one mile in a few seconds.

     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from rockyracoon. Show rockyracoon's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    In Response to Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43%:
    [QUOTE]The daily polls dont mean too much...but at least debunk the media hype that Obama is a lock for reelection "Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama's numbers are almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. It is also important to check the details of  question wording when comparing approval ratings  from different firms. " President Obama now holds modest leads over Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum in combined polling of key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. The numbers mark a shift from late February  when Obama was tied with both candidates in the four states.  Which is why VP hopefuls  are from FLA (Rubio) , OH (Portman) and VA (McDonnell)
    Posted by BetheKoolaid[/QUOTE]
    The polls are all very close but what your not mentioning is that they are moving in Obama's direction.  You also haven't considered the fact that Obama hasn't even begun to campaign yet.  The republicans are in full campaign mode and they are losing ground.  A lot can happen between now and November but if the economy continues to improve, even modestly, the GOP is in very big trouble. George Will wrote an editorial basically saying the republicans should forget the White House and concentrate on the house and senate where things aren't as rosy as they once were for you.
     
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  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from rockyracoon. Show rockyracoon's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43%:
    [QUOTE]In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43% : May need a link for "moving in Obama`s direction"?  In fact, it`s the exact opposite.  Obama has been stuck at well under 50% for quite some time.  An incumbent that can`t get 50% is in deep trouble.  The numbers are moving more and more towards the Republicans on a daily basis.  Two weeks ago Obama was beating both Romney and Santorum handily head to head.  Yesterday it`s both of them beating Obama.  If you check polls relative to the economy Obama loses badly and if you put Obamacare into the poll he gets trounced. I think Obama is campaigning.  He gives a speech every day to charitable, forgiving, Democrat, audiences and if you listen it sounds just like it did in 2008.  On the other hand, the Reps don`t even have a nominee yet and they`re winning.  IMO, Romney will get the nomination, choose Rubio, West, or Christie, and we`ll be saying bye-bye Obama in November.
    Posted by jmel[/QUOTE]
    Every single poll I have seen has Obama ahead or within the margin of error in head to head matchups with all the republican canidates.  His approval rating is at or very near fifty percent and climbing in most polls.  In a sense Obama is campaigning since he is the incumbent but his campaign is not in full gear and they have yet to attack like you know they will especially when there is a single candidate to focus on.  If the economy continues to show improvement your guys are toast no matter what the polls say today.
     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from rockyracoon. Show rockyracoon's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43%:
    [QUOTE]In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43% : May need a link for "moving in Obama`s direction"?  In fact, it`s the exact opposite.  Obama has been stuck at well under 50% for quite some time.  An incumbent that can`t get 50% is in deep trouble.  The numbers are moving more and more towards the Republicans on a daily basis.  Two weeks ago Obama was beating both Romney and Santorum handily head to head.  Yesterday it`s both of them beating Obama.  If you check polls relative to the economy Obama loses badly and if you put Obamacare into the poll he gets trounced. I think Obama is campaigning.  He gives a speech every day to charitable, forgiving, Democrat, audiences and if you listen it sounds just like it did in 2008.  On the other hand, the Reps don`t even have a nominee yet and they`re winning.  IMO, Romney will get the nomination, choose Rubio, West, or Christie, and we`ll be saying bye-bye Obama in November.
    Posted by jmel[/QUOTE]
    I just looked at all the polling data and Rasmussen was one of the only polls that have Obama losing to Romney.  USA Today and The Washington Post were other ones.  Just about every other poll, of which there are many, have Obama ahead of Romney and some have him ahead by a comfortable margin.  Even Fox News polling has Obama ahead.  His approval rating is around 50%. Some polls a bit higher and some a bit lower and all have him climbing upwards. He's definitely in trouble in some states that he won in '08 but overall he's doing ok and the republicans have very long odds to unseat him.
     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from BilltheKat. Show BilltheKat's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    GOP loses with Romney
    Obama wins for another 4.

    Give it up. It's not even a horse race.
     
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  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from BilltheKat. Show BilltheKat's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    Again for the cheap seats and the maroons:

    GOP loses with Romney
    Obama wins for another 4.

    Give it up. It's not even a horse race.

    FYI: Santorum is insane.
     
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  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from BilltheKat. Show BilltheKat's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    As usual, your good data always fails you because you don't know enough to read it properly.

    But hey, keeps you hopeful- and then it's sends you back to the bottle.


     
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  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from rockyracoon. Show rockyracoon's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43%:
    [QUOTE]RCP Average                   2/16 - 3/9          --          48.8 45.0 Obama +3.8 Rasmussen Tracking        3/7 - 3/9      1500 LV      43 48 Romney      +5 NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl   2/29 - 3/3             RV     50 44 Obama       +6 Politico/GWU/Battlegrd   2/19 - 2/22  1000 LV     53 43 Obama       +10 USA Today/Gallup           2/20 - 2/21  881   RV    47 47                    Tie Associated Press/GfK      2/16 - 2/20  1000 A        51 43 Obama        +8
    Posted by airborne-rgr[/QUOTE]
    There are a handful of polls that have Romney ahead of Obama but I can list 50 other polls including a fox news poll that has Obama ahead.  None of this means squat anyway since Obama's team hasn't even begun to take their shots at Romney and it's all going to come down to: Good economy=Obama winning. Bad economy=Romney winning.
     
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  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from andiejen. Show andiejen's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43%:
    [QUOTE] Whoooops.......sorry guys.  This one just in from today (Sat), you may not like it too much. With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today's numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. That’s Romney’s largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free  daily e-mail update ).  If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama. Romney is the only other candidate to lead the president more than one time in the polls. See  tracking history     for Obama vs. all four Republican candidates.
    Posted by jmel[/QUOTE]

    jmel:

    This is the data from the latest Rasmussen poll.

    In your post right above you wrote a few from the left, a few from the right. May not mean much until there is a nominee.

    So basically, so what? Not exactly breaking news.


     
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  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from andiejen. Show andiejen's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43%:
    [QUOTE]In Response to Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo-in for reelection incumbent Obama 43% : Understood. Just keeping the updates coming. Ahhhh but if kirk posted it, would you say the same thing?
    Posted by jmel[/QUOTE]

    jmel:

    Actually, yes.
     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from skeeter20. Show skeeter20's posts

    Re: Latest Rasmussen poll: the flip-flopping weak fractured-GOP-Party candidate Romney 48%; booming economy beneficiary, shoo...

    Watching Game Change reminded me that when the Republicans put up their liberal against the Democrats liberal, the Democrat liberal is always willing to give more away than the Republican liberal, and as a result, win.

    I guess my most optimistic stance is that Romney can't win, but Obama can lose.
     
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