Re: THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IS EXPERIENCING ITS
posted at 11/8/2012 1:33 PM EST
In response to WhichOnesPink2's comment:
In response to DirtyWaterLover's comment:
The Republican Party is at odds with itself. On the one hand, they want smaller government. But on the other hand, they want to control who can get married, what people can do with their own bodies, etc.
Perfect example: They complain that Obamacare will lead to the government dictating to Doctors what procedures they can and cannot perform and then turn around and try to pass laws forcing women to get vaginal ultrasounds.
if they stay the way they are, they can't win national elections. And if they try to stick with being pro-business/less government regulation, they won't win any local elections.
You do realize Repubs won on national level in 2000 and 2004 right? And now the Dems have won 2. Oh and before Bush, the Dems won 2 in a row. And before Clinton the Repubs won 3 in a row. Before that, well it was Carter so there's that. But before that, Reps 2 in a row. Before that Dems 2 in a row. Before that Reps 2 in a row. Before that....well...you see where I'm going with this...or at least I hope you do.
Starting with Truman each party for most party has held the white house back to back with the exception of the Carter/Reagan/Bush cluster. Otherwise 2 and out, 2 and out, 2 and out.
I think a more accurate view of history is that in 1964, Dems abandoned their hold on the confederate states by doing the right thing, and ever since, they have been struggling to regain the white male vote.
Carter won the white house after a Republican impeachment.
Clinton won the white house with a conservative Texas businessman running as a third party, taking votes away from the Republican incumbent. He won again as an incumbent with a booming economy.
I don't believe the Republican party is in its death throws, though - they still have better turnout for the mid-terms, and a Marco Rubio candidacy in 2016 could change the entire perception of the party. The biggest threat to the GOP is division within the party - as long as the tea party folks and the moderate Republicans continue to vote in lockstep, despite having drastically different self-interests, the party will remain formidable.