Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to jmel's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    I shoulda seen that one coming...

    Hey ya racist bigot, which field did ya move those goal posts to.

    I can't even see 'em from this thread.

     

     

    Typical racist, making excuses for his inferiority complex.

     

    [/QUOTE]


    Hey FREAK, I couldn`t stop laughing out loud at what a freakin moron you are by citing polls by: Purple Strategies, ARG, Gravis mktg, and PPP.........BWAAAAAAAAAaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!

    Does Wal-Mart do a poll for you? How bout Woolworths?  I know. I know......You and your resident friends at McClean Hospital do some polling showing Obama ahead, right?

     

     

    [/QUOTE]

    I'm going to miss your paranoid delusional rants.

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    Professional economists, statiticians and polsters hate on Nate Silver because he just holds an AB in economics (not even a masters) and made his name as baseball stat head.  He's not part of the club.  They rarely seem to engage him on a professional level by actually challenging the assumptions that go into his projections.  Why don't they come with a ream of data to knock him down?

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    And then there's the fact that the racist bigot says Michigan is going Mittens but yet Rasmussen says it's a likely Obama state.

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard

    I can't wait till the racist coward starts lying about that one too.

    C'mon racist, let's here your bullshiit on that one.

    It's probably the one state that Razz uses a diffrent 'turnout' model, right Racist?

     

    [/QUOTE]

    I'd just settle for the "ignore" tab.

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    Seems the best way to get the wingnuts to quiet down is to ask them to put their own cash behind their oh-so loud predictions.

    The latest example is Nate Silver and his 538 blog.

     

    Political polling guru Nate Silver is so confident in his statistical models that he just offered to bet MSNBC's Joe Scarborough $1,000 that Barack Obama will win re-election. Scarborough, you may recall, criticized Silver's math earlier this week, saying that "Anybody that thinks that this race is anything but a tossup right now is such an ideologue ... they're jokes." He was specifically talking about Silver's FiveThirtyEight website, which shows Mitt Romney with just a 1-in-4 chance of becoming president.

    http://news.yahoo.com/nate-silver-joe-scarborough-wanna-bet-113615600.html

    [/QUOTE]


    No he isn't an idiot, he just references all the polls friendly to Obama to make his point.

    Looking at his blog today no reference of either the Rasmussen or Gallup polls all the also rans who do a heavy sampling of Democrats.

    This will look good until next Tuesday.

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    Seems the best way to get the wingnuts to quiet down is to ask them to put their own cash behind their oh-so loud predictions.

    The latest example is Nate Silver and his 538 blog.

     

    Political polling guru Nate Silver is so confident in his statistical models that he just offered to bet MSNBC's Joe Scarborough $1,000 that Barack Obama will win re-election. Scarborough, you may recall, criticized Silver's math earlier this week, saying that "Anybody that thinks that this race is anything but a tossup right now is such an ideologue ... they're jokes." He was specifically talking about Silver's FiveThirtyEight website, which shows Mitt Romney with just a 1-in-4 chance of becoming president.

    http://news.yahoo.com/nate-silver-joe-scarborough-wanna-bet-113615600.html

    [/QUOTE]


    Nate Silver this morning:

    Yes, of course: most of the arguments that the polls are necessarily biased against Mr. Romney reflect little more than wishful thinking.

    Nevertheless, these arguments are potentially more intellectually coherent than the ones that propose that the race is “too close to call.” It isn’t. If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can’t acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.

    But the state polls may not be right. They could be biased. Based on the historical reliability of polls, we put the chance that they will be biased enough to elect Mr. Romney at 16 percent.

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/nov-2-for-romney-to-win-state-polls-must-be-statistically-biased/

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    In response to ThatWasMe's comment:

    Nate Silver this morning: Yes, of course: most of the arguments that the polls are necessarily biased against Mr. Romney reflect little more than wishful thinking. Nevertheless, these arguments are potentially more intellectually coherent than the ones that propose that the race is “too close to call.” It isn’t. If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can’t acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public. But the state polls may not be right. They could be biased. Based on the historical reliability of polls, we put the chance that they will be biased enough to elect Mr. Romney at 16 percent. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/nov-2-for-romney-to-win-state-polls-must-be-statistically-biased/ 




    BWAAAAAAAAAAAAA HAAAAAAAAAAAAA HAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

     

    Geepers you're a freakin looney tunes.

    You do realize that Silver is mocking you idiots by invoking the whacko wingnut meme of "all polls that don't agree with my ideological ignorant position must be bised"...

    He puts the chance that all polls are wrong at 16%, lower than the possibility of an outright Mittens win.

    It's probably no coincidence that this is exactly the number of idiots who have their heads stuffed so far up their a55es that they can't hear reality.

    [/QUOTE]


    What would you expect from the corrupt and bankript NY Times.

    Silverman is a leftwing idiot like you.

    The problem is turnout.

    He bases his opinions on polls that over sample democrats and polls who expect the same turnout that they had in 2008.

    Democrats are not turning out as indicated in all early polls of absentee ballots.

    That includes Virginia and Florida. Absentee ballots in traditionally D counties in NH are way down.

    Republicans in all areas are up.

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    In response to ThatWasMe's comment:

    Nate Silver this morning: Yes, of course: most of the arguments that the polls are necessarily biased against Mr. Romney reflect little more than wishful thinking. Nevertheless, these arguments are potentially more intellectually coherent than the ones that propose that the race is “too close to call.” It isn’t. If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can’t acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public. But the state polls may not be right. They could be biased. Based on the historical reliability of polls, we put the chance that they will be biased enough to elect Mr. Romney at 16 percent. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/nov-2-for-romney-to-win-state-polls-must-be-statistically-biased/ 




    BWAAAAAAAAAAAAA HAAAAAAAAAAAAA HAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

     

    Geepers you're a freakin looney tunes.

    You do realize that Silver is mocking you idiots by invoking the whacko wingnut meme of "all polls that don't agree with my ideological ignorant position must be bised"...

    He puts the chance that all polls are wrong at 16%, lower than the possibility of an outright Mittens win.

    It's probably no coincidence that this is exactly the number of idiots who have their heads stuffed so far up their a55es that they can't hear reality.

    [/QUOTE]


    When Virginia and NH go to Romney on Tuesday you can go to bed.

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    In response to msobstinate99's comment:

    30,000 turn out in Ohio for Romney... Obama plays for just 2,800... Carry on.




    Heh, heh, heh...Mittens was able to gather all his support in Ohio in one place...congrats.

     

    His entire "base" wouldn't even fill a football stadium....

    [/QUOTE]


    Neither would empty chairs.

    Why they moved his acceptance speech out of scheduled Bank of America stadium.

    They blamed on rain because they couldn't fill it even after busing in thousands.

    Didn't rain the day before, the of, the day after.

    You are too funny.

     
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    Re: Wingnuts keep saying Nate Silver is an incompetent ideologue. His response: Wanna bet?

    In response to 12-Angry-Men's comment:
    [QUOTE]

    In response to msobstinate99's comment:

    30,000 turn out in Ohio for Romney... Obama plays for just 2,800... Carry on.




    Heh, heh, heh...Mittens was able to gather all his support in Ohio in one place...congrats.

     

    His entire "base" wouldn't even fill a football stadium....

    [/QUOTE]


    The thrill is gone:

    CLEVELAND 2008: 80,000; CLEVELAND 2012: 4,000...

     

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