Re: Is Arnott the culprit? or Marchand
posted at 8/29/2011 4:04 PM EDT
In Response to Re: Is Arnott the culprit? or Marchand
[QUOTE]He is looking for length, which tells me he is looking to capitalize on one strong campaign, not looking at coming back, performing better, and increasing his value.
Posted by rolerhoky19[/QUOTE]
I think it's simply a question of coming back to the table as a UFA or an RFA. Odds are the Bruins would be happiest with a two year deal that brings him back as an RFA; Arnott probably wants either three years or the Bruins to pay a premium for the right to maintain control of his client after this contract. The Bruins might be willing to consider 4 or 5 years if they think they're getting a bargain on those first two years of potential UFA riches. I doubt it's Marchand looking for 10 years $40Mil.
[Edit to respond to SoxFan's post]
The numbers from Rotoworld make sense - and show Arnott's savvy. Four years and I think the Bruins are getting one year of Marchand's UFA eligibility. If you crunch $3M/4yrs as a variable pay contract, and treat this as two RFA years at a number around what they gave Wheeler ($2.5), then a second two year deal where you buy a year of his UFA, that would put Marchand's third deal at a fairly reasonable $3.5M. If Marchand is a second or even third line player scoring 35-45 points over that stretch (plus PK, plus maintaining some semblance of discipline) then that's a decent deal for the team.
But...if you have any doubts that the guy can keep his composure for 82/16, or that he can stay healthy playing like a turkey against strong, angry, non-Sedins, then you see this as the risk of having a Glen Murray buyout albatross around your neck going into a new, likely more austere CBA.
Assuming the Rotoworld story is accurate, I'm going to guess they settle on something like $2.75M/4yrs ($11M overall).