Re: The Bruins have clinched playoff spot!
posted at 3/21/2013 4:01 PM EDT
It escapes me as well Dez. I wish they had an explanation on the page.
I visit that site often, and I think he does a real good job. There is an explanation of his methods somewhere on the site but I forget where.
However his playoffs%, and cup win % stats are calculated poorly in my opinion, he puts too much weight on goal differential and current record, which pushes his 'percentage stats' to the extremes. His '100% Bruins to make the playoffs' stat is probably rounded up from 99.95 to 100, and in reality is probably closer to 98%.
Also if you look to the right side of the table, there is still a tiny chance that the bruins could finish 15th (indicated by the 0 there, meaning "rounded to 0%, but more than 0%". a true 0% chance is represented by a blank space). You could, therefore, conclude that once the Bruins have a 'blank space' in the 9th to 15th place columns, that they have clinched a playoff spot.... If you trust his methodology....
I dont use this site to truly determine whether the Bruins have clinched a playoff spot, since his method is to simply simulate the season millions of times and display how often each result occured. To truly determine whether a team has clinched, you have to take into account every possible outcome of the remainder of the season, and despite running millions of simulations, it is inevitable that some 'possible outcomes' will not occur in his simulations.
Despite my criticisms, I still think he does a great job, and visit the site from time to time.