Re: The Shup sweepstakes: What will Tuukka's average cap hit be ?
posted at 7/8/2013 12:57 PM EDT
shupe, my question was about last year, when Rask signed for $3.5M for one year. For context, Ward signed a 6yr deal in 2010 for a $6.3M hit. Quick signed his 10 year extension with a $5.8M hit at the time Rask was on the market as an RFA. Fleury's hit on a 7yr deal signed in 2008 under a much lower cap is $5M. Giguere hasn't been a starter for years, but his last deal as a starter was 4 years for a $6M cap hit. Khabibulin had a 4 year deal for a $6.75M cap hit before his career went south and he had to battle DUIs, injuries, and guys like Dubnyk just to keep a job. Crawford had done nothing and was closer to being in danger of losing the starting job than winning a Cup. Really? Chris Osgood? Into the Vault, Sherman! You're wrong on almost all of these comparables, with Niemi the only one who fits the point you're trying to make.
Carey Price was signing a 6/$6.5M deal at the time. Ryan Miller 5/$6.25. Bryz 9/$5.66. Jonas Hiller was even making $4.5. Corey Schneider got $4M to back up Luongo. Retread Lehtonen's deal was paying him $50K more than Rask would make to be the starter for the Bruins. There were plenty of reasons for an arbitrator to award Rask more than he accepted.
Maybe this got lost in one of my novels, but you keep making the point that long term goalie deals never work (sorry Bullwinkle). That's just not true. There haven't been many deals longer than 5 years for big money - use DiPietro's $4.5 as the floor. DiPietro, Bryz, Luongo (what the Isles and Flyers do is always suspect, and Luongo's deal represents a pay cut and back dive). Quick is a recent addition: so far, so good. Ditto with Rinne's deal. Lundqvist has been worth every dollar. Kiprusoff was for four of the six. Brodeur.
Last, the question on who could have made the move. The Avalanche got one year of mediocre goaltending from Varlamov and were willing to pay a 1st for him based on very little. The Jets could have decided Pavelec was too much of a risk, or, given how much Cap space they have, they could have opted to go with Rask and trade Pavelec. Panthers, Oilers, Lightning - especially the T-Bags. They might be a playoff team this year if they had a goalie.
This year, there are fewer options, and maybe PC is chiselling the number down on a long term deal a bit.
Look, I agree that you take a risk on a long-term deal, and making Rask the highest paid goalie in the league doesn't appeal to me, though he should be in the top tier. But I also look at the struggles the bulk of the league have in finding a goalie who can win, and I would rather have to find a way to deal with Rask if he injures himself or starts hitting the buffet with Byfugy rather than have to find a goalie who can play as well as Rask has every year he's been in Boston.
Are you not entertained?!?!