YOY Production Comparison

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from Crowls2424. Show Crowls2424's posts

    YOY Production Comparison

    Given the team's 11% drop in goals this year, started poking around at some numbers this morning.  Wanted to drill into a little more detail to see where players are at this year relative to their 2011-12 production levels.  I normalized the actual performance to an 82-game schedule as to rationalize the number of goals/points a player is over/below the previous year.

    Goals:

    Laggers: Lucic (-13 goals/-50%), Kelly (-13 goals/-64%), Horton (-7 goals/-24%), Krejci (-5 goals/-22%), Peverley (-5 goals/-33%)

    Gainers: Marchand (+7 goals/+22%), Paille (+6 goals/ +53%)

    Points

    Laggers: Peverley (-29 points/-48%), Chara (-18 points/-34%), Kelly (-18points/-45%), Lucic (-14 points/-23%), Horton (-14 points/-24%)

    Gainers: Marchand (+15 points/+25%), Bergeron (+15 points/ +23%), Paille (+12 points/ +69%)

    No surprise that Lucic, Horton, Peverley & Kelly jump off the page as guys with material lag in YOY performance, but a little surprised at how far off they are.  Also, a little suprised to see Chara show up as a material lagger in YOY points.  That doesn't get much attention out here, but his offensive production is down 34%.

    Good to see how much Marchand, Bergeron & Paille are contributing.  Again, not a surprise that they are doing well, but a little surprised at how far ahead of last year they are.

     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from WalkTheLine. Show WalkTheLine's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    I'm not going to quibble with your methodology because your overall point is valid. Those numbers demonstrate just how offensively challenged this team is this year. They probably aren't going to fix this through a trade and there is nothing in their own system (including the yetiberg) that is likely to make any serious offensive contribution. Furthermore, the lack of offense seems to have thrown the team D off kilter. I'm starting to feel like this just isn't the B's year.

     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from Crowls2424. Show Crowls2424's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    Funny you say that Walk, as GA/GP is down to 2.19 from 2.43.  So, the defense is actually a little better (statiscally speaking) and comparable to the decline in goals. 

    I think it just renders itself as having so little margin for error. 

    On the numbers, Peverley and Kelly point production down >40%, Lucic and Horton down >20%, and even Chara down >30% all contribute to the gap.  Also, validates what everyone already knows, Bergeron line has been great this year.

     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from jmwalters. Show jmwalters's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    Nice works on this.

    It is probably not too far off the mark to suggest that the 2013 Bruins are, offensively speaking, essentially a one line team....that being the Bergeron line of course.

     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from BsLegion. Show BsLegion's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    Pretty good and not that surprised about Chara's numbers . Maybe the whole defense corp's numbers are down.

    This to me is one of the major reasons the Teams offense is down this year.  They are not supporting the forwards as they have in years past , playing way up on the blue line and not pinching as much.

     

     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from WalkTheLine. Show WalkTheLine's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    Stats aside, they're just not as difficult to play against. Their team D starts with relentless forechecking and giving the opposition little room and time to make plays in any zone. That's glaringly missing lately.

     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from Crowls2424. Show Crowls2424's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    In response to WalkTheLine's comment:

    Stats aside, they're just not as difficult to play against. Their team D starts with relentless forechecking and giving the opposition little room and time to make plays in any zone. That's glaringly missing lately.


    Agree Walk.  Some of this can be explained with numbers, much of this is what we see game-in and game-out.  Not tough to play against, at least not consistently.

     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from Fletcher1. Show Fletcher1's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    Interesting.  What I expected mostly, but interesting nonetheless.  Thanks.

     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from SanDogBrewin. Show SanDogBrewin's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    "Furthermore, the lack of offense seems to have thrown the team D off kilter."

    The Bruins in 2011 during the Nov.-Dec. with Horton before he got injured, a machine of a team with puck possesion. So the defense doesn't have to work as hard becuase the offense possesses the puck so much. Antti Niemi twittiling his thumbs during the 2010 Stanley Cup playoffs cause the Hawks had the puck all the time.

    Yes as Jones said on NBC after the Wednesday night loss "someting isn't right", there is no offensive consistency.

     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from bogie6. Show bogie6's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    That's precisely why PC hasn't been tearing up the peapatch. He has the horse, thy need to produce

     
  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from BsLegion. Show BsLegion's posts

    Re: YOY Production Comparison

    wow Paille !!! An he's already celebrating

     

    https://twitter.com/StanleyCupC2011/status/317726831753187330/photo/1

     
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