Re: my mock draft with the top three picks all traded
posted at 6/25/2013 1:27 PM EDT
In response to kdp59's comment:
In response to Eldunker's comment:
I too have revised my draft. I'm just going through the first 16 to Boston's pick, without any trades:
1. Noel; 2. Oladopo; 3. Porter; 4. McLemore; 5. Bennett; 6. Len; 7. Burke; 8. Carter-Williams; 9. McCollum; 10. Zeller;. 11. Adams; 12. Dieng; 13. Larkin; 14. Schroeder; 15. Caldwell-Pope and 16.Plumlee to Boston.
I really believe the first 11 players are locks, maybe not in the exact order, which means that anybody not included in the above are possible Celtic picks. If I'm correct, then at 12, OKC desparately needs a Center and therefore picks Dieng, at 13 Dallas will pick a PG (either Larkin or Schroeder, I think Larkin). at 14, Utah also needs a PG and takes Schroeder. at 15 with Monta gone, Caldwell-Pope is a no brainer, and the best gift in the draft.
Boston passes on Olynyk, Shabazz, Mitchell, Greek Freak, and the plethora of SGs. and picks Plumlee, the safest pick and and a better rebounder than Olynyk, who will see immediate minutes at PF backup.
all looks very possible ceom thursday
but I would wager there will be at least two trades in the top five picks this year (and maybe more).
I really can't see Cleveland going with Noel at #1 at this point. But I am not sure anyone will be willing to move up in that spot either. If they are "stuck" at #1..Noel, Len and Porter look like the best option for them..flip a coin as which way they go.
McLemore is proabably the best sure thing in this draft and COULD be an NBA star at SG in a couple years. Neither Cleveland ,Orlando or Washnigton have a real need there however. I can see THIs pick being moved faster than #1 then.
Phoenix and Minnesota could be trading partners for Orlando if that is the case.
everyone has Porter going to Washington, but what if Len is still on the board?
washington's record after Wall got healthy was playoff level....they have Nene and Okafer (sorry but I always screw up his name) and certainly have seen Lens play....maybe a SF is a higher priority than a center in todays' NBA..I am not sure.
Charlotte shoudl let however falls to them fall and snag him up. they need help everywhere.
i can see Phoenix moving up a couple spots for a guy they LOVE or standing pat knowing one of either McLemore or Oladipo should fall to them.
after that to me it's all a crapshoot!!
teams will fall in love wioth a certain player and pick him or get scared and move up to get him...alwasy happens on draft day and this year maybe more so.
Frankly I don;t see this dfaft being that much different talent wise than most the past few years, EXCEPT at the 1-2 spots.
I think picking #10-20 this year is much like picking 10-20 in any recent NAB draft.
they are all KIDS or Foreign players and ALL a gamble.
We have different perspectives. As I'm sure the GMs do as well.
I would not be surpried if there were multiple trades in the draft, but their are an infinite number of scenarios, so that exercise doesn't interest me.
I believe that concerns about McLemore's character will drop his stock a bit. and I believe that Olapido and Porter are the two best sure things in the draft - talent and all other factors considered.
I have flip-flopped on the Cavs and their pcik and I think they reluctantly pick Noel, if for nothing else, he may have better post-draft trade value than anyone else.
I now beliee that Len drops simply because Ola, Porter, McLemore and Bennett are the best available players and also fit team needs from picks 2-5, so Len on my board goes 6.
I agree with Danny, and most other analysts, that the talent in this draft is the weakest in a decade, from top to bottom, but especially after the first 11 picks.