Re: Sample size
posted at 2/21/2013 4:22 PM EST
In response to snakeoil123's comment:
In response to RallyC's comment:
In response to snakeoil123's comment:
In response to RallyC's comment:
In response to snakeoil123's comment:
In response to RallyC's comment:
In response to snakeoil123's comment:
Somehow I don't think the Celtics are going to continue to play well over the rest of the year.
Who knew? I mean I thought when Rondo went down everything was fixed and they were going to contend for a championship.
Do you think it's possible that this 500 team with Rondo is a 500 team without Rondo?
I would be blown away if that turned out to be true.
Sarcasm off.
Snake,
So, to answer your question it first has to based in fact, which is the C's pre-Rondo ACL were 20-23 for .465 winning percentage, and not a .500 Team. Also, the C's since Rondo went down for the year are 8-3 for a .727 winning percentage. So, the C's would have to go 6-12 (.333PCT) in their last 18 to bring their "without Rondo" record down to your .500 mark, and they'd have to go about .277 (5-13) the rest of the season to drop to the "Before Rondo went down" .465. Based on these facts, NO, I do not believe the C's are merely a .500 Team without Rondo. As a matter of fact, if the C's only go .500 over the last 18-games, they will still have played at a .586 pct. since RR went down during a "sample size" of 39-games! That's .475 PCT of entire season. That a big enough sample size for ya? Sarcasm was never on.
As always you aren't gettting my point. This years team is mediocre either way.
Your post doesn't say that at all. It implies that the team is no better with or without Rondo. To the contrary, the numbers prove out that we would have been much better off if RR went down much sooner. Looks like you confused yourself.
No. my point is that I think the Celtics are going to play very poorly the rest of the year. Which is why I keep talking about sample size. The Celtics are a horrible road team and they only have 12 left at home all year.
Thats why I am talking about sample size. I think they will be under 500 the rest of the year.
Should have blown it up.
With 18-games left, yes, it could fall that way, BUT our present 8-3 sample is still encouraging enough to keep some hope that they will compete. No miracles here, I agree, but they still have a chance to be a major factor in these playoffs. No BIG, no real chance......unfortunately.
See man I think this is a very average team and if they didn't have that little win streak they might have blown it up.
Worst thing that could have happened. they will wind up at 41 and 41 and go out in the first round.
Bums me out.
I feel ya. I just believe that we will still play better than .500 moving forward AND RR going down has forced DOC to play the others and really see what they have to offer. JG may never have been on his way the way he is today hadn't this happened. With PP showing a sharp decline is a comin', that is so important. AB, C-Lee, JT getting real time is valuable as we move forward. Over all, a tough year, yes. But in the end, it will prove invaluable in so many ways moving forward.