Re: Strength of remaining Schedule Lakers/ Celtics Draft pick order implications.
posted at 2/28/2014 4:30 PM EST
It is pretty sickening and obvious what is going to happen in LA over the next two years.
Wade, Bosh and LBJ are not going to opt out of 2 years and 42 million to go to LA, so that pipe dream is out thew window.
Sooo, it will be shady of course, the league wouldn't dare give LA pick #1, but the Lakers to be tossed pick 2 or 3 in the draft and take Wiggins or Parker. They will be slotted at 5-7 and bump some poor team like the Bucks or Magic out of the top 3.
The next moves for LA:
1. Gasol reuiniting with his brother in Memphis makes too much sense. After Zach Randolph opts into his 1 year 16.5m contract the Lakers do a sign and trade of Gasol for Randolph. Not sure if it will be 2, 3 or 4 years, but the contract will be in the 13-15m a year range.
2. They work on getting a C to go alongside Randolph. They still have 8 million left under the cap. I say the Lakers will sign Gortat for like 4/34. Even though the big man gets offered like the Sanders 4/44 from several teams or maybe even the Noah 4/48 from the Wiz who are desperate to keep him, big Gortat goes to LA for less.
LA only get their 2015 1st rd pick if it is top 5. Gortat-Randolph-Wiggins/Parker-Kobe-Nash and a REALLY bad bench gets them into the playoffs but no further than round 1. But the battle is good for Wiggins/Parker to be a part of.
Summer 2015, the cap has gone up to 65 million, the Lakers lose 26 million of Randolph/Nash and have 38 million devoted to 3 players: Kobe, Gortat and Wiggins/Parker.
1. They sign Love (4/80) deal starts around 18.5
2. They have 7-9 million in space left and don't want to burn any 2016 cap space, so maybe a 1 year deal for a guy like Barea or Lin or they have Kendall Marshall cheap over a couple of years.
The 2016 Lakers again make the playoffs, maybe round 2 this time if Kobe is a 15ppg 3rd option and Wiggins/Parker make the sophmore jump to 20ppg scorer. They actually have a 1st rd pick in 2016. They'll only have 36 million to Gortat, Love, a PG/'16 pick and Wiggins/Parker. The cap will be at like 68 million.
Kyrie Irving hates Cleveland and has played out his deal on a QO. He probably was traded, but wants to test free agency anyhow. LA gives him a max deal. Hibbert is unrestricted, so the Lakers trade Gortat and his reasonable 2/18 left on his deal for a SG who wants to leave his team, might have just gotten hit with the QO, someone like Terrance Ross for Gortat and a future pick. They sign Hibbert for like 4/72.
Kobe, age 38, is renounced so there is no cap hold, after all the dust settles he signs some 2 year deal for the MLE to be the 6th man, play until age 40, and get Kareem's scoring title. Hibbert-Love-Wiggins/Parker-Ross-Irving starting 5.
Lakers become title contenders again for the 2017 playoffs.
The same year the Celtics will probably become title contenders even if they don't land Love.