Re: Too Many Bodies
posted at 7/10/2013 10:08 PM EDT
In response to hops29's comment:
OK I'll take back my labeling of Jennings as a rising star. I think the Bucks could and would try to spin it that way in any deal involving him.
Drummond is as untouchable as any young guy out there right now, and with Knight there already (Detriots party line: Yeah, we WANT RR but really don't NEED him) I think Detroit has a little more leverage than Boston.
Even Monroe isn't as lopsided a trade as you may think. Especially from the Pistons POV. If you go to any Piston Fan discussion board, (which I've done) 90% of them think that getting Rondo wouldn't be worth giving up Monroe. They love the guy. If it was Drummond they would riot in the streets.
On the flipside here in Boston a large number of Boston fans want Rondo out, and would do it ASAP for min return. Dumars isn't stupid and can use this in any negotiation between the two. "why would I give you my 17pts 9rebs beloved stud of a bigman for your tantrum throwing, polerizing point guard?"
I just think that both teams overvalue their own players. Dumars thinks Monroe is more valuable than Rondo. Ainge thinks Rondo is more valuable than Monroe. Drummond is completely off the table. I would love to get either of those two guys I just don't see them getting it done.
And since you brought it up, why would you want Jennings?
A Rondo replacement. Nowhere near the same quality. But he will be signed to a relatively longer term deal.
In the scenario that the Celts trade Rondo, they will need a replacement. Rondo's contract is up in a couple of years and he will look for a large payoff. Green can also opt out of his contract that year. Completely cripples any FA play on the part of Celts. I don't think that this will be a 1-year rebuild. If Jennings can be had at a mild overpayment, there may be free agent room in 2-years. That is asuming that Rondo nets a quality player on a rookie deal.
If not, development of a rookie point guard not currently on the roster means a 3-4 years process. I prefer to keep Rondo in that case. That is the likely outcome from my point of view.