Re: Worst Case (Best Case) Scenerio
posted at 7/1/2013 4:22 PM EDT
In response to rameakap's comment:
1.) Most wins possible: 37-42
- Rondo is healthy and almost his old self by Thanksgiving, he wants to win and prove he is a superstar, the new coach plays a short rotation of Hump-Olynyk-Bass-Sully-Green-Wallace-Lee-Avery-Crawford-Rondo that max's out its abilities. Team gets 7/8 seed.
NOT a good situation
2.) Very mediocre to middle of the road: 29-34 wins
- Rondo isn't healthy until Christmas, takes some time to get into the flow. The above rotation is expanded to more guys and lots of 'experimenting' happens, no consistency, the new coach plays Melo, Olynyk, Sully, Joseph, Avery and Pressy a lot more mins than they deserve at the expense of Bass, Humphries, Wallace and Lee. At least 1 of those 4 guys is gone by the end of camp and 1-2 more at the deadline. Rondo is not dealt. Team gets pick 6-11, has the lotto luck at a top 3 to hope for but no dice, yet there is star talent anywhere in lotto/top 12 next year.
Decent and most likely situation
3.) Bottoming Out: 21-26 wins
- Rondo is held out under sketchy Rose like circumstances until January, looks very good upon return and is instantly traded at the deadline for (hopefully) another '14 pick, cap space and another 21-25 year old asset. The new coach does the same as in the above situation otherwise, with one more of the Hump/Wallace/Bass Lee veterans dealt until at least 3 or hopefully all 4 are gone by Feb. Team gets a top 5 pick.
Best situation to rebuild
Rame, totally agree. However, I am torn. I like both Rondo and Green and want to keep them both, but at the very least one of them, but ... how awesome would it be to have three first round picks in the most anticipated draft since ... LeBron's?
Lets pretend its the 2008 draft. Our pick is top5, Brooklyns is 25 and we trade Rondo to Detroit and theirs ends up being 16. Pretty reasonable, right?
We could walk away with: Kevin Love, Roy Hibbert and Nicolas Batum. That would be a big three right there. You'd add an Avery Bradley, Sullinger, Olynyk off the bench, and you still have Jeff Green, plus whatever other assets we have. We go into free agency in 2014 with cap space to sign another 10-12M guy and then we have two firsts in the next two drafts (with an increasing chance of Brooklyns being a near-lottery pick)
The possibilities are endless. If I were Rondo, I'd be doing everything I can this year to show the organization that I am a better cornerstone than Jeff Green because I think one of the two are getting traded for another 2014 pick, and I'm not sure who I want to keep!