2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

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    Latest Mock Draft- (with a bold prediction!) 22- Jared Odrick - I have been picking brandon graham at this spot since day 1 but the more i think about it the less likely i feel the pats will snag him, i think Graham will be gone by this pick and i dont think the pats are willing to trade up for graham when they have solid options left to choose from. The addition of odrick will solidify our defensive line. with wilfork gettin a 5 year contract, ty warren signed through 2012, i think odrick can start at the 5 techniquie in the 3-4 from day 1 and also add some much needed interior pass rush in passing situations. With mike wright rotating in and the continuing development of ron brace and pryor... i like our defensive line depth. I also think the pats will take a hard look at Thomas the receiver from georgia tech if he slips to this spot. 44- TRADED TO THE STEELERS - the patriots are fully prepared to select someone at this spot when suddenly they get a call from the steelers organization. They swap 2nd round picks. steelers get the 44th and the patriots get the 52nd overall pick along with the steelers 3rd round pick 82 and a 2011 4th round pick. Why would the steelers want to move up??? TIM TEBOW. i predict with all the big ben nonsense that has been goin on, the steelers need to have a safety valve if big ben continues to have off the field issues. The steelers dont feel comfortable waiting on tim tebow to slip to the 52nd overall pick so they strike a deal with the pats. 47- Brandon Spikes - Many people had him slotted in the mid to late 1st round area, but after running back to back 5.0 40's his stock has definitely taken a fall. With that said, his film speaks for itself, at this point in the draft he is the best player available and fills a need, the pats defense is vulnerable when guyton is a 3 down linebacker. Spikes can play the first 2 downs and be a thumper in the middle and on 3rd and long guyton can bring an athletic presense where he can thrive in either blizting or dropping in coverage. If spikes isnt available at this point i wouldnt be surprised if the pats took a look at sean lee from penn state, has similar qualities when comparing to spikes, leadership, physical presense, but i think spikes has the bigger upside. 52 (from the steelers)- Dennis Pita - Prototypical h-back/ tight end. natural hands, good route runner, performed well in the combine. He is about 6'5 250, not a punishing blocker but he is serviceable in that area. we just signed crumpler so he should do the majority of the blocking ala kyle brady. I think pita can be a dallas clark type of tight end for us. Dorin dickerson is an option here too but i think pita is the more natural tight end and dickerson is only a better athlete not a better football player. (i would prefer aaron hernandez but i anticipate him being gone by this point) 53- Jason Worilds- He was problably the best player on a very good virginia tech defense. He performed well in his pro-day by running back to back sub 4.6 40's. They had him listen in the low 4.5's. He is 6'1 255, which is a little short but he has the strenth and explosiveness (ran a 4.08 in short shuttle) that BB wants in a 3-4 outside linebacker. I think he is kinda flying under the radar and is a good value in this area of the draft. 82- (from the steelers) Montario Hardesty - This could be the next "shonn greene" type steal of the draft. he doesnt have "elite speed" like cj spiller or isnt as shifty as jahvid best but i do think he fills a need on the pats roster. Sammy Morris, Fred Taylor and Kevin faulk are all past 32 years of age and the pats need some young legs in there. Maroney still has some value on this team because of how young he is but i think patience is wearing thin, especialy with his fumbling whoes this past season. Hardesty has a nice burst, i remember him running really well against good defenses this past season. SEC back with some fresh legs, thats why i prefer him over a Toby Gerhart because i think toby just has way too many carries on his legs already. Hardesty shared the load throughout his career. This doesnt solve the next "kevin faulk" dilemma but i think he can be a workhorse in between the tackles. 119- Sam Young - Solid prospect out of notre dame. The biggest problem with him is that he might only be able to play right tackle, which is why he is predicted to be drafted in the middle rounds. But i think he would be a good fit with the pats. Matt light isnt getting any younger, we already have the left tackle of the future with Sea-bass, and our current right tackle nick kaczur is spotty to say the least. I think Sam Young can compete for the right tackle position and eventualy take over, giving us a solid tackle duo along with vollmer for years to come. 190- Freddie Barnes - extremely productive receiver. Set an ncaa record with 155 catches last season. However he didnt play against great competition because he played with Bowling Green. He wasnt even invited to the combine. Many people speculate his 40 time would be pretty slow around the 4.6 or 4.7 range but he flat out performed in his college career. You wont find many recievers with this type of production. 205- O'brien Schofield - He has the talent to be drafted in the 3rd round but suffered an injury during his time in the senior bowl practices. He was one of the best pass rushers in the big ten and the leader of wisconsin, i think if he fully recovers he can make an impact on special teams and possibly situational pass rusher. This took me a while to complete but i think this would be a great draft. thoughts?
    Posted by Patsfan24-7


    You listed a lot of solid players on there.  I think you and I are among the few that think it will be Odrick at the top.  I don't know about the Steelers taking Tebow.  I actually think Tebow comes off the board early in the 2nd to Buffalo perhaps.  In any event, solid picks. 

    Ironically had Spikes not run or was hurt and stood on his tape, he'd be a late 1st rounder.  Look at Demaryius Thomas.  He's being talked about like at top 20 pick and didn't go to the Combine or Pro Day leaving everyone to admire his tape.  Spikes on tape is a 1st round pick.  Now he's lucky to go in the 4th.

     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

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    Patriots interviewed McCourtey the night before the Rutgers Pro Day.
    Posted by Low-FB-IQ


    I love McCourty as much for what he does on Special Teams as he does as a CB.  Unfortunately I don't think we can get him unless we take him at 22.  I think he goes somewhere between 25 and 35.

    That's why I like Dexter McCluster.  He's a great ST guy who you can work into an offense all over the field.  Although small, he is Welker-like shifty but faster straight line.  I love him and think he could be nearly as good as Welker and certainly as versatile.  I'm concerned that Edelman can't hold up for a whole season in the slot.  He missed a few games last year due to injury when he wasn't even playing full time.  As Mb points out, Welker may never be the same player again.  McCluster for me best solves the problem and could be had at 53.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    According to Ourlads, there are currently 15 defenses that base in the 3-4

     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    Currently, there are 10 starting safeties that went undrafted while there are 9 starters that went in the 1st Rd.

    I wish I could be as wrong as NFL scouts in my job and still keep it.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

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    According to Ourlads, there are currently 15 defenses that base in the 3-4
    Posted by Low-FB-IQ


    Thats a lot.  I thought there were 12 but either way it puts a premium on 34 NTs and 5 tech DEs.  This is why I think Odrick makes the most sense even more so than Kindle although I would be happy with either.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    CB is is a premium position in the NFL-- 64% of the starting CB's were picked in the 1st or 2nd rd (41 of the 64)
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    Holt looking to play with ‘elite’ quarterback « http://bit.ly/cvD9wc
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6:
    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6 : spikes is luck to go in the 4th? i strongly doubt he will get out of the 2nd round.
    Posted by Patsfan24-7

     
    There is no way to tell because it only takes one team of course... I do not care who takes him as long as it is not the Patriots.

    First it's not a position of higher need for us at the moment.

    Second he can't run. Defenses will see him on the field and game plan especially for that. Deliberately forcing him into a match-up nightmare scenario for our defense.

    imo.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    check out this crazy rumor...

    McNabb and cornerback Asante Samuel would go to Oakland, and cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha would go to Philadelphia.

    As, someone else said "isn't that a Madden trade and not real life?"
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

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    Holt looking to play with ‘elite’ quarterback « http://bit.ly/cvD9wc
    Posted by Low-FB-IQ


    Respected guy around the league, great route runner, hard worker, productive really don't care he's 32 I think he can still play and end up with 800 yards and a few TDs.

    He will only benefit with coverages going to Moss, add Edelman and hopefully Tate and he can help.

    Bring him and see if get what they tried with Galloway last year.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    Hughes to visit Patriots -http://b.globe.com/9wCNAs
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    Odrick's looking like a popular pick at #22, but aren't people worried about his bust potential? Just because he looks like a 3-4 end and can move well doesn't mean he's a surefire started from day 1. Marquis Hill proved that. He looked just like Seymour, but sure didn't play like him. If they pick Odrick I'd be concerned because he's from bust city (aka Penn state) and he was a gap shooting type at PSU. He'd have to learn the 5 technique. I look at Alualu, who played the five well at Cal, as a safer pick. He also made more plays and seems like a Pats type guy.

    If Graham's gone and Odrick and Pouncey is left, I think Pouncey would be a better pick. I don't think they'd be crazy to trade up a few spots to get their pass rushing LB (whoever it is). 
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

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    Another potential 3-4 edge candidate?  Looks to have good athleticism, height (probably needs to ad some weight), speed and quickness and currently projects as URFA.  He had 22 career sacks and 9 his senior year. http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Aaron-Morgan-on-the-rise.html
    Posted by mbeaulieu07


    Didn't find much but what I did find says 7th-UDFA, comp pick in the 7th?  Sounds like an intriguing kid, 235? if he can bulk up has the height.  Productive against Texas and Arizona State.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6:
    Odrick's looking like a popular pick at #22, but aren't people worried about his bust potential? Just because he looks like a 3-4 end and can move well doesn't mean he's a surefire started from day 1. Marquis Hill proved that. He looked just like Seymour, but sure didn't play like him. If they pick Odrick I'd be concerned because he's from bust city (aka Penn state) and he was a gap shooting type at PSU. He'd have to learn the 5 technique. I look at Alualu, who played the five well at Cal, as a safer pick. He also made more plays and seems like a Pats type guy. If Graham's gone and Odrick and Pouncey is left, I think Pouncey would be a better pick. I don't think they'd be crazy to trade up a few spots to get their pass rushing LB (whoever it is). 
    Posted by Rockdog1293000


    If the Pats like Graham they will have to jump ahead of the Falcons, heard a few times already that's who they will be targeting.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    3 spots in nothing if they love the guy. What do the value charts say? Would a 4 and a 6 work? I love Graham so others would probably disagree, but why not move a few slots if they love a guy? I know there's a ton of depth, but there are also many more 3-4 teams so I can see them moving. 


    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6:
    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6 : If the Pats like Graham they will have to jump ahead of the Falcons, heard a few times already that's who they will be targeting.
    Posted by Pats7393

     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6:
    Odrick's looking like a popular pick at #22, but aren't people worried about his bust potential? Just because he looks like a 3-4 end and can move well doesn't mean he's a surefire started from day 1. Marquis Hill proved that. 

    M.Hill(RIP) was a kid they took a flyer on. They over drafted him strictly for his size and potential back when they could afford a flyer/luxury pick. M.Hill was never considered anywhere near the athlete Odrick is.

    He looked just like Seymour, but sure didn't play like him. If they pick Odrick I'd be concerned because he's from bust city (aka Penn state) and he was a gap shooting type at PSU. He'd have to learn the 5 technique. 

    This is absolutely true but most players are shooting the gap in college defenses. That was my initial concern the first time I watch his film as well. I was impressed that a guy that size could move quick as a cat BUT I said he doesn't play the Pats style so it was a question. However, you can see plays in his game tape videos where is is VERY successfully handling double teams AND stringing out a play at the point of attack toward the sidelines.

    As far as his ability to play the 5 tech. That's what the senior bowl week of practice is very useful for. They put all those guys through various drills to test exactly that. He supposedly acquitted himself very well in the 5 tech and double team work. It has also been said that at times he was the best player on the field during the senior bowl game. Granted most of the best offensive line talent did not play in that game.

    I look at Alualu, who played the five well at Cal, as a safer pick. He also made more plays and seems like a Pats type guy. 

    Believe it or not Alualu is considered iffy in the pros as a 34 DE. They believe he is best suited to play 43 but can probably play DE in 34. He's only 6'3" and along with Lamarr Houston, who is considered strictly a 43 guy, their height usually eliminates them from being an "ideal" 34 DE candidate.

    After Odrick you would be looking at Cory Wootton and Alex Carrington as the next two "ideal" 34 DE's for playing the 5-tech as both are 6'5" or over. Generally they are taller AND have longer arms. Odrick for example is 2" taller than Alualu AND his arms are and inch longer. You could theoretically be looking at an additional three inches of visibility blocking and reach for batting down or tipping passes in Odrick's favor.

    If Graham's gone and Odrick and Pouncey is left, I think Pouncey would be a better pick. I don't think they'd be crazy to trade up a few spots to get their pass rushing LB (whoever it is). 
    Posted by Rockdog1293000




     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    Good points Low. I'm not huge on the size requirements, as I think they disqualify players that can do the job. A guy like LaMarr Woodley could be disqualified because he's an inch or two too short, but you can't tell me he'd be a huge upgrade for the Pats. I know there are reasons for these requirements, but they shouldn't overtake the actual abilities of the players. I'm sure the ideal Pats NT would be 6'-5" too to keep blockers off away from his body, but Wilfork does a great job at 6'3". 

    I'm still very skeptical of any player from Penn state, but a premier 3-4 end would be a huge addition for the Pats.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    http://www.bostonherald.com/blogs/sports/rap_sheet/index.php/2010/03/25/mysterious-patriots-lb-shawn-crable-i-couldve-easily-been-gone-but-this-years-everything-to-me/#more-6565

    Crable is a real player, he does exists!!!
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6:
    Good points Low. I'm not huge on the size requirements, as I think they disqualify players that can do the job. A guy like LaMarr Woodley could be disqualified because he's an inch or two too short, but you can't tell me he'd be a huge upgrade for the Pats. 

    You are preaching to the choir on this one. I have have always said some guys are just players but this is the stubborn blinders on NFL machine for you. There are currently more undrafted  starting safeties in the NFL than ones drafted in the 1st round. Why was Vollmer not invited to the combine and have a 6th round draft grade on him. We know Welker's story. Brady? The league if full of such stories across all teams. The Draft is close to being a complete roll of the dice the way the scouts treat it.

    On Woodley I certainly agree with you and it was said the Patriots were interested in him but he went well before their pick later in the 2nd.

    Also, for me personally, I never like to think oh a player did this or that with some other team so he would do that with the patriots too. Too many variables to make that leap.

    I know there are reasons for these requirements, but they shouldn't overtake the actual abilities of the players. I'm sure the ideal Pats NT would be 6'-5" too to keep blockers off away from his body, but Wilfork does a great job at 6'3".  I'm still very skeptical of any player from Penn state, but a premier 3-4 end would be a huge addition for the Pats.

    I was not saying Odrick is a clear choice. Simply he is the only potential player to have a shot of coming in and starting at RDE on opening game. That only makes him a possibility.

    Some reasons Odrick might not be the guy...

    1) They might not think Odrick is good enough value at that spot or good enough to come in and start from day one. If they project Odrick taking at least half the season to work himself into the starting role it might mean not enough value. 

    2) They might think more highly of the progress of Pryor and Brace then we are aware of as fans as well as Mike Wrights ability. The three of those guys in rotation at various spots on the DL AND the addition of a later round guy like a Carrington added in the mix might seem a better option to them for now.

    3) If their intentions are to do something with Adalius Thomas, trade, release, etc. It opens up a hole at OLB that is even bigger than the current one at RDE. Bigger because you could argue the backup talent at OLB (Woods, Ninkovich, Crable) is less talented than the backup talent at DE (Wright, Pryor)

    4) There could be upcoming FA's next year at either position that would sway the priority of either decision as well. Both of their own and other teams that could be had in the process.


    Posted by Rockdog1293000


     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    And people were complaining we did not get enough for cassel?

    Eagles want a top 42 pick for McNabb  http://bit.ly/dlkNlE
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6:
    Odrick's looking like a popular pick at #22, but aren't people worried about his bust potential? Just because he looks like a 3-4 end and can move well doesn't mean he's a surefire started from day 1. Marquis Hill proved that. He looked just like Seymour, but sure didn't play like him. If they pick Odrick I'd be concerned because he's from bust city (aka Penn state) and he was a gap shooting type at PSU. He'd have to learn the 5 technique. I look at Alualu, who played the five well at Cal, as a safer pick. He also made more plays and seems like a Pats type guy. If Graham's gone and Odrick and Pouncey is left, I think Pouncey would be a better pick. I don't think they'd be crazy to trade up a few spots to get their pass rushing LB (whoever it is). 
    Posted by Rockdog1293000



    To your point about Odrick vs. Pouncey.

    I suggest you check out draftace.com. In addition to doing the typical player rankings by position that most draft sites do they ALSO give each player an individual GRADE.

    Now its just one sights opinion but it at least gives you an idea of the difference in the caliber of each player within the rankings as well as the quality of the depth at each position relative to the player you are considering.

    For example sake let's look at Center AND DE. Let's say the Patriots had an immediate hole at center and DE this coming season.

    In that scenario, given you like both potential players equally, you would absolutely take Pouncey first because he has a 90 rating. At first you might question why since Odrick has a 92. The thing is the next C you could get your hands on is only a 78 while Wootoon and Carrington have grades of 87 and 84 respectively. The better valued pair would be comprised of C 1st and then DE.

    Well I should add that's at least how I look at it. That's also if the positions in question hold the same identical wight to the organization. If the Patriots value the DE much more than the C position they might still take the DE 1st and think th 78 talent at C is good enough. I have no idea how they do it or what they think.

    I wish all the draft sites put grades on players though. You can sort of do the same thing with the value boards and round expectations but its cleaner and easier looking at the grades when comparing across positions.
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    Ourlads has Both Graham(15) and Odrick(19) graded higher than 22 on their top 32 bigboard.

    Kindle at (23)...
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    Interesting. I wonder if the Pats use a similar system of rating and/or they have stronger opinions on one player. I don't know if they'd pick a player they liked less based on depth at the DE position in the example you've put forward. More likely they'd try to trade down to a safe spot to pick Pouncey and get a slightly lower rated DE in round 2 while hopefully accumulating extra picks. I'm sure they have a pretty solid evaluation on Odrick at this point. If they think Odrick can play the 5 technique I'm sure that would inflate Odrick's rating for the Pats based on their system. 

    It'll be very interesting what they do. I looked at the Senior Bowl again and Odrick is impressive. One critique I have is that Odrick could play a little stronger, but there were moments he held up pretty well against double teams. 

    I wouldn't be surprised if they fool everyone and make a play for Kyle Wilson. It's not necessarily a huge need IMO but if they think he's a shutdown corner than I could see them going for it. Shutdown corners make a ton of money and are hard to find. Who knows?



    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6:
    In Response to Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6 : To your point about Odrick vs. Pouncey. I suggest you check out draftace.com. In addition to doing the typical player rankings by position that most draft sites do they ALSO give each player an individual GRADE. Now its just one sights opinion but it at least gives you an idea of the difference in the caliber of each player within the rankings as well as the quality of the depth at each position relative to the player you are considering. For example sake let's look at Center AND DE. Let's say the Patriots had an immediate hole at center and DE this coming season. In that scenario you would absolutely take Pouncey first because he has a 90 rating. At first you might question why since Odrick has a 92. The thing is the next C you could get your hands on is only a 78 while Wootoon and Carrington have grades of 87 and 84 respectively. The better valued pair would be comprised of C 1st and then DE. Well I should add that's at least how I look at it. That's also if the positions in question hold the same identical wight to the organization. If the Patriots value the DE much more than the C position they might still take the DE 1st and think th 78 talent at C is good enough. I have no idea how they do it or what they think. I wish all the draft sites put grades on players though. You can sort of do the same thing with the value boards and round expectations but its cleaner and easier looking at the grades when comparing across positions.
    Posted by Low-FB-IQ

     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    2010 NFL Draft Post Combine Consensus Top 75 http://goo.gl/fb/pph2
     
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    Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6

    I've noticed an increased amount of Odrick at 22 posts going around and I have to say, if they feel that he has the ability to play the 5-tech at a high level (to go along with his penetrating abilities if they go 4-3) I don't see another player projected at 22 that makes more sense, based on their size preferences, value placed on the DL, their draft history and positional need.


    If they do go that direction, here's my projection rds 1-6.


    22- DL Jared Odrick


    44- TE Aaron Hernandez


    48- RB Toby Gerhart

    53- OLB Koa Misi (or McCluster if you want to continue to revamp the Offense)

    119- OT Kyle Calloway

    190- OLB Daniel Te'o-Nesheim

    205- WR Emmanuel Sanders

     
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