Re: 2010 Mock Rounds 1-6
posted at 1/28/2010 12:39 PM EST
For those that know me from previous years I will be updating my mock as we go based on developments. I don't speculate about trading and moving around in the draft although I know it usually happens. I also don't try to predict what BB will do, this is what I would do if the draft were held today.
Round 1, Pick 22: Mike Iupati, OG Idaho, 6-5, 330, 520
You want a can't miss pick in the first round. It is in question whether Iupati lasts to us at #22 because he has flown up everybody's board. Some suggest he may move to OT, but I see him as a pulling guard that will also maul people in the run game. Iupati will be a prenial Pro Bowler and Hall of Famer, IMO. With Neal rumored to be retiring and Mankins becoming a RFA and soon UFA, the time is now to shore up that right side. I don't want to bank on Connolly protecting Brady in Neal's spot. In short, this is a need pick but a very safe and smart pick although I doubt Bill will do it.
Round 2, Pick 44: Dan Williams, DT Tennessee, 6-2, 329, 5.23
Given Vince Wilfork's comments the other day I think it possible he might be gone or hold out if tagged. At this point I think it likely the Wilfork situation will not be resolved by draft day. I am also very much in doubt about Ron Brace. I thought he was slow and lethargic at BC and the Combines and he was pushed around all day against Baltimore in the play-off loss. So, this becomes a need pick. If Wilfork stays we go a different direction here. So Bill, PAY THE MAN so this pick doesn't become necessary!! Some have William ranked higher than this but either he or Cody should be there since I see a lot of teams holding off a bit on DTs given the depth and quality in this draft.
Round 2, Pick 47: Kyle Wilson, CB Boise State, 5-10, 190, 4.42 or
Donovan Warren, CB Michigan, 6-0, 188, 4.42
Take your pick if either of them are still here. After Joe Haden these two guys are #2 and #3 CBs on my board. A lot of people don't agree yet which will hopefully ensure one of them are here. If we sign Wilfork then we can make this pick at 44 to be safe. At this point we aren't assured of Bodden coming back and Springs is washed up leaving us with Wheatley, Wilhite and Butler none of whom have proven they are starting corners. Wilson or Warren can flat out cover and hit and could (hopefully) become the next Ty Law.
Round 2, Pick 53: Anthony Dixon, RB Mississippi State, 6-1, 245, 4.59. I struggled with where and who to take at RB but not that we needed to take one. Of the four guys I rate higher (Spiller, Dwyer, Best and Mathews), Dixon has more of what I think we need and that is a power rusher. Fred Taylor was a mistake even if he doesn't miss as many games this year. Sammy Moris can't stay healthy so the Pats are left with nobody with this combination of size and quickness. Maroney might bust out in his final contract year and learn to hang on to the ball. If so, a big bruising back would make the perfect compliment. Dixon is remarkably quick and shifty for his size and I think this is about the right spot for him.
Round 4, Pick 117: Riley Cooper, WR Florida 6-4, 214, 4.49. Sold guys from all the talk about this kid. Gives us a ligit threat opposite Moss without spending a top pick. With a good combine showing, i.e., sub 4.55 speed,, this kid could move out of reach. I think it very likely that BB picks up a veteran WR via F/A or trade before the draft. He's shown a pattern for doing that recently.
Round 6, Pick 195: Clifton Geathers, DE, South Carolina, 6-7, 281, 4.89. While very raw and coming out after his junior year this kid has NFL pedigree, the size and speed to warrant spending a late round pick. With a good Combine, he could move up to the 4th round. The NFL advisory Committee gave him a 4-7 or possible F/A grade. Geathers certainly has the frame and youth to add a good 30-40 lbs and with that speed and size could be deadly in a year or two.
Round 7, Pick 220: Nate Byham, TE Pittsburgh, 6-4, 268, 4.76. Concerns over the possible loss of Watson cause the Pats to add a TE in the draft. They could go earlier with one of the top receiving TEs should they keep Wilfork and free up that pick 47 with a guy like Hernandez. But for now I think finding a big solid blocking TE that can help in the running game along the goal line or an short yardage has been missing. The Pats just don't emphasis TE much in the passing game likely because of the great play they get from their slot receivers. Chris Baker, one of the new kids and Byham should be able to provide enough depth to get us through the year with a look to upgrade TE next season.