Re: ***2013 Patriots Draft Thread V2***
posted at 4/5/2013 1:34 PM EDT
In response to seattlepat70's comment:
Here is something I posted on TexasPat's mock draft thread. I want to be able to come back to it after the draft. I just think I have a better chance of finding it here than finding that thread again.
Still relevant to this thread of course.
I think the DTs will go really fast this year. In addition to the normal demand, there are two teams converting to 34, who will certainly be in a hunt for an NT. Teams that could pick a DT in the first include JAX, OAK, CLE, NYJ, TEN, NOS, PIT, MIN, IND, GBP, NWE.
JAX: Finds Jordan and Ansah too fascinating. They forego a DT. Takes one of Jordan or Ansah. If I were them, I'd take the latter. I think DET takes the other.
OAK: Their situation with Kelly and Seymour makes DT a must. I think they pick Floyd
NYJ: They could take a pass-rusher. But with Star on the board, I don't think Ryan will be able to resist taking a very talented DT who could also be their NT. They take Lotulelei.
TEN: Will take Richardson if BUF takes Warmack
NOS: Conversion to 34 will be problematic without a NT - the most critical position in the scheme. Big kids with high level of kids don't appear on every draft. They gotta take an NT. Of the available DTs, my guess is they pick the one who is closest to being ready to start, even if they get a NT on FA. That would be Hankins.
PIT: I have them picking a backfill to Harrison. However, Hampton is FA. Behind Hampton, they have McLendon (maybe too small to play PIT style of 34) and Taamu. My guess is they get a vet from FA if Taamu is not ready. It is possible they pick another padawan to learn from whichever vet they bring in. That could be J Williams. If they want someone close to starting they could pick S Williams.
IND: Same situation as NOS. Of available DTs who can play nose, they pick the one closest to being ready to start. My guess is that would be S Williams. If he's gone, the pick here could be Jenkins.
MIN: Will certainly pick a WR with one of their first rounders. The other pick should be on D. The D struggled against the pass. Yesterday, I thought that reinforcing the front 4 would be the way to go for them. But TP's CB pick made me analyze MIN a little more. That D ranks #5 in total sacks and #5 in sack yards lost. On the other hand they rank #27 on opp pass completion rate. This makes me believe that their issue is more in the secondary. I think TP nailed this one. They probably will pick a CB.
GBP: Not many predict GBP to pick a DT. That said, if you watched their last playoff game, the front 5 looked really slow vs. SFF. If I have to guess which position they will target improving, it will be 33 yr old Pickett, who plays to the left of Raji. I anticipate they pick whichever highly rated DT's left that has the best motor. That would be Short.
NWE: If they want a NT, they could be left with only J Williams vs Johnathan Jenkins on the board (B Williams if they want to risk waiting 'til 59). On how close to being ready to start, I think Jenkins has the advantage. For different reasons, they have very good upsides. Williams' upside is more related to what he's been able to do despite his rawness. Jenkins' upside has to do with the athleticism he shows at the weight he's at (345 lbs). In the history of the NFL, I think people have seen that the latter kind of upside is more rare. Like TP and Wazzu, I like Jenkins here. Yet depending on where PIT goes, it's possible that only one of Jenkins and J Williams is available here.
They can pick a CB (one of Slay, Alford, Ryan, Mathieu, Gratz, Webb, Bildi Wreh-Wilson, McFadden, Davis) in the second and a WR (Possibly available: Rogers, Hamilton, Bailey, Stills, Swope, Harper, Vernon) in the third (in bold are the ones I like). Sorry, Bred, I think they are set on 43DE or 34 OLB.
Jax- I agree, tough to pass up on an edge player with elite potential.
Oak- Makes sense for them and while he seems to be rated that high, I still don't see Sharrif Floyd as a Top 5 talent.
NYJ/TEN/NOS/GB/IND- All of these make sense if the player is available.
Min- Agree that they could use more help at WR.
On J Williams, he could start tomorrow anywhere along a 2-gap front, IMO... it's his ability as a passrusher that will need to develop a bit, though he does have the ability to push the pocket from the interior and it's not like rushing the passer would be his first priority like most interior DT's in a BB scheme.