Re: 2013 Regular Season W-L Predictions? Revisited
posted at 8/9/2013 1:32 PM EDT
At this stage I prefer to give a range in predicting. On the low side I say 10 wins and on the high side I say 13. Injuries contribute to the low side. Better than reasonable expectations on questionable players deliver to the higher side (rookies, growth by second year players, etc.).
So 10-13 wins and if I were to pick a single number I would go with 12 wins.
I expect that Pats to face off at some point with Denver in the playoffs. Home field and health will likely dictate the winner. If both teams are equally healthy I give a slight edge to the Pats and that is due to the following:
1. Brady has better cold weather track record than Manning
2. Pats look to have a deeper and more effective ground game
3. Pats run D and overall D should take at least one step up in play over last year. I see Denvers D as sound but trending water as compared to last year.
4. Pats and BB get a slight edge for being good underdogs
5. Gronk, Amendola can be X factors. There is reasonable possibilty that between Vereen, Dobson, Boyce, Thomkins there is another X factor. A healthy Edelman - especially if he is the THIRD receiver, can actually be a game breaking option because he will have to be covered by lesser talent and he is naturally dangerous once he gets his hands on the ball.
I dont want to list it as a reason here but I seriously wonder whether Hightower will be the revalation on the D as the team approaches the playoffs. Personally I think he might be McGinest like in his impact.