Re: AFC Playoff Picture
posted at 11/7/2012 11:01 PM EST
I have New England. Then I have Houston and Denver. The question is, which of these teams wins the footrace to home field advantage or to the second bye? Houston has the lead, but they have two tough away games at Chicago (the worst one, I favor Chi by 2.5 points) and at Detroit (pick em). Then Houston has to go to New England (I favor New England by 4.6 points). The New England game is a big head to head tiebreaker.
Denver has already lost its tiebreaker to New England. However, they play mostly average teams and bozos for the rest of the year. FrankenPeyton's bolted-on neck and retread arm seem to be holding together at this point, so Denver is in like Flynn. When Peyton loosens up and lets his hair down, does he use a wrench and a solvent?
All that New England has on its screen, after the critical Houston game, is a Super Bowl preview game against San Francisco at home, New England by 8.3 points, long flight out, SF has to play rival Seattle the next week in Seattle. The actual Super Bowl would be a pick em.
I can't see any AFC North team winning the AFC North. Don't give me any of that "someone has to" business. Baltimore goes 4-4 from here out, finishes 10-6. Pitt goes 5-3 and finishes 10-6. One of them gets a wild card. Neither one of them gets a bye.
The last wild card is up for grabs at 8-8.
San Diego looks like 4-4. They have a shot. Miami looks like 4-4. They have a shot. Indianapolis goes 3-5 the rest of the way. They've been playing bunnies but that changes pretty soon. The Jets could once more sneak in with their lucky horseshoe except they regularly die in December.