Re: AFC Playoff Picture
posted at 11/8/2012 7:07 PM EST
In response to JintsFan's comment:
In response to Paul_K's comment:
In response to FrnkBnhm's comment:
If the Houston at Detriot game is a pick-em, then so is Patriots game at Miami (do you realize the Phins have the sixth ranked defense in the NFL?).
The Patriots second half schedule is a lot tougher than you are giving it credit for. The only "easy" games are Buffalo and Jacksonville. The Dolphins will put up a fight both times as will the Colts (the Colts actually have the same record as the Patriots). The Jets will try (I am not sure they have enough of anything to beat the Patriots), but on national TV in prime-time on Thanksgiving, playing for the lives (and Ryan possibly coaching for his job) it will not be an easy game.
The 49ers may have a long flight out, but the Pats also lose a day of rest going into that game. This is not the second half schedule from last year where the Pats end on an 8-0 run. I expect that Patriots to go 6-2 (split the Houston-SF back-to-back and one other stumble along the way). At 11-5, they will certainly win the AFC East, but a by will not be a guarantee...
The Broncos have an extremely easy schedule and could easily go 7-1 putting them back ahead of the Patriots despite having lost to them.
I have New England at Miami as 5.7 point visitor favorites.
Miami, as a third place finisher in 2011, has already played its two third place teams and split 1-1. They did face Houston in the first half of the season, but they have yet to face Seattle, at San Francisco or two New England games. They're playing average against average teams. Losing to lower-ranked Indy at the Lucas Oil dome cemented their #15 NFL power ranking.
New England will be coming off a 10 day layover after Thanksgiving and that should help.
In the last three years Miami has been a relatively good road warrior team versus a home softie.
i am shocked beyond words u have the pats favored all the time and in the super bowl...stunned really
Someone else has them in the Super Bowl. It's always hard enough winning two playoff games against good teams to make it into the Super Bowl. That said, the Pats have made it five times in 11 years.
Yes, I happen to have the Pats favored in every single game for the rest of the season. I had Seattle slightly favored last month, and Seattle barely won. Are non-Seattle fans going to hold that against me?