Re: BB Draft Bashers Exposed
posted at 2/3/2013 8:12 AM EST
In response to garytx's comment:
In response to mthurl's comment:
In response to garytx's comment:
In response to BabeParilli's comment:
In response to garytx's comment:
The draft catches up with teams like San Diego, Colts, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and in a way New England. If it weren't for Tom Brady we would be in with those other teams. Brees keeps the Saints afloat and of course the Luck pick will keep Indy going but these guys aren't the power houses they once were. I think you'll see Baltimore fad in the next couple of years. SF will be the power house for a while because of all those high draft picks they had in the first decade. It is about where you draft. The further down the list you go the odds aren't with you. Teams get lucky every now and then like Brady with the Pats and Cruz with the Giants.
I can agree that picking higher would give you a better chance at acquiring a better player, but when you look at the number of picks we had in the first and second rounds the amunition was there to move up. Instead we moved back and back and back...pushed the present into the future to come away with guys like Cunningham, Butler, Dowling, Brace, Chung. And as the years unfold, more guys will be exposed as busts, or average at best players - we are watching it right now. We just gave 40 million to Jerod Mayo...Mayo plays most games like he was a third round pick...at his best he plays like a guy that was selected in the late first, but never like a top ten pick. Why the hell did we spend a second round pick on Tavon Wilson? That is a second round selection that did virtually nothing for you at a position of need last year. Dowling was essentially a first round pick - the guy got hurt at his own pro day...his pro day! And we pick him that high? He hasn't gone 35 minutes without getting hurt.
Now all these things happen to most teams and that's fine, it's the draft...it happens. I think Belichick is the best coach in the NFL - as a GM I'd rank him as average, to slightly above average. I can't call him the best GM ever when he squandered oppurtunities and resources the way he has the last three years. Three years ago we were all saying that all the picks he had acquired was shrewd and was going to set us up for years to come...our defense was so bad this season that we had to send a fourth round selection to Tampa for their injury prone known thug...where he would go on to act nice and get hurt. Chandler Jones looks legit, it's just that there were players like him available in previous years and we decided to trade back for value and positional flexibility. All those flexible value guys are on their way out of the league and we are left back at the drawing board. No wonder why our cap situation is so good, none of our drafted defensive players improved to the point where we would have to pay them.
You name the busts that are frustrating. The trade downs really did get old after a while. Thank God for the first round last year. However, out of the names you mention Chung was called a good pick and a desired one at the time. Rash-I was a gamble and I think everyone knew that. If it paid off, wow! But it hasn't and who's to say that he won't? I know it doesn't look good but it ain't over tell it's over.
Here's my hang up on all of this. BB is a poor talent evaluator based on what? Compared to whom? The article gives us a baseline of sorts. You can change this and that but it would probably even out in the end. BB ain't the greatest but he's far from the worst.
I agree with everything you are saying - Bill does know what a good football player looks like, the draft is a gamble that can make one look smart (or stupid rather quickly). Here is the problem I have - there were players available at where we were picking at the time that could of helped the team. Or if you want to get a little crazy, there were players available not too far ahead of us that we had more than enough amunition to move up and get.
The thing that bothers me over that three to five year period is that we fell in love with the deal..the trade...getting quantity...getting the best of the trade...value...pushing the present into the future...wait till next year. I think too many times they were trading out of their spot. I believe they thought the guy they wanted all along would still be there and if not a guy they had rated perhaps a little lower would. I think we ended up with the lower rated guy too many times and it hurt our second round selections - but that was alright in theory because we had picked up extra picks for next year...only to do the same thing over again.
Hey whatever, it doesn't matter, it's the draft and mistakes happen to every single team. I think Belichick is the best coach in the league and a guy that knows talent, I just think he fell in love with making deals...getting the better of them...and I think it didn't work out. I think they took a much different approach this last draft. I think they'll take a different approach to free agency too. I don't think you'll see them sign Fenene again or have a Dashon Goldson sitting in his office only to low ball him, because it costs more in the long run and you end up having to watch balls go over Steven Gregory's head in the biggest games of the year.