Re: Belichick on running the ball (from today's conference call)
posted at 1/9/2014 1:36 AM EST
Lets see what that hack Salk was talking about before the season, not that it matters, BB already told us running wasn't important(wait, he didn't say that?) Skip the 1st part about the murderer...
I am thinking this will put not a dent but a hole big enough to drive a car through ccns fallacies about not being very balanced other then Dillions 04 year.
TO BALL-CONTROL OFFENSE Mon, 07/01/2013 - 9:45am
Aaron Hernandez is in jail, has been denied bail (twice) and still is a long way away from going to trial. The bizarre and horrible story has cause people to rip the Patriots organization, defend the Patriots organization, and wonder about Bill Belichick and the Patriots Way. That's fine. But the only reason we know who Hernandez is in the first place is because we know him in a football perspective. And we are now less than four weeks away from the start of training camp and I'm curious how this offseason will change the Patriots on the field.
It might be time for Josh McDaniels to adjust the Patriots' offensive strategy and stop relying so much on Tom Brady. (AP)
Let's start with what we know. With no Hernandez,
on the roster, the Patriots have given up players that accounted for nearly 300 of the 401 completions
threw in 2012. Throw in the likely-to-be-injured
, and 87 percent of last season's completions are in limbo, at best.
That leaves the Pats with an unproven receiving corps -- one with some potential but which has yet to be proven in this system. Belichick and his offensive coaches may look at this group and decide it is just as capable as last year's group of running the same offense. They may believe that Tom Brady is so good that he can turn this collection of unprovens into the next batch of stars. They might be right.
But they could also go in a completely different direction.
When I think of the three Super Bowl-winning teams, I think of a ball-control offense. Yes, Brady was a burgeoning star (certainly by 2004), but he didn't throw it that often. In 2001, he attempted just 413 passes, in 2003 it was up to 527 but by 2004 it was back down to 474. He has not had a year with fewer attempts since, peaking at 637 attempts last season.
In fact, the Pats' pass-run ratio was nearly even in the three Super Bowl seasons – 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Since 2004, it has risen to 55/45. The same is true for the percentage of yards gained through the air rather than via the run. That climbed from a 64/46 split to 71-29.
The numbers bear out what any of us might have guessed: The Pats have become much more of an aerial attack than a pounding running style. They score quickly and often. And while that has made sense with their explosive offensive personnel, it has had an effect on their defense. (UH OH ZBELLINO, ANOTHER IDIOT WHO THINKS AN AERIAL OFFENSE CAN HAVE A NEGATIVE EFFECT ON OUR DEFENSE)For the last three years, that defense has given up yardage in droves, though they've remained among the leaders in fewest points allowed.
What would happen if the Pats abandoned their high-flying offense and returned to their ball-control style?
Well, Tom Brady might stop being Peyton Manning. Remember when Brady vs. Manning began and everyone knew that while Manning would put up the huge regular-season numbers, Brady would get the better if him when it mattered most? Well, Brady's regular seasons have since competed with Manning's, but unfortunately, so have his postseasons. One theory on why that's occurred is that the team has asked him to do too much for too long. The ball-control Patriots asked Brady to make a few big plays per game. The aerial-attack Pats ask him to make dozens. The ball-control Pats used their quarterback as part of a multifaceted offense. The aerial-attack Pats built everything around him, almost like a certain ex-Colt (but without the constant histrionics at the line of scrimmage)?
In the four years I spent working with ex-quarterback Brock Huard in Seattle, one of the things he taught me was that offense and defense can have a symbiotic relationship. (UH OH ZBELLINO ANOTHER MORON WHO THINKS OFFENSE HAS AN EFFECT ON DEFENSE, YOU REMEMBER THAT TALK RIGHT BIG GUY)When an offense scores quickly, it puts pressure on the other team, but it also can have an adverse effect on its own defense in terms of the raw numbers. Quick scores lead to more possessions per game which in turn leads to higher yardage totals. In theory, a Pats team built around more of a ball-control offense should help the defense by keeping it off the field for longer stretches of time.(SOUNDS FAMILIAR, I SAID THIS IN THE PAST BUT WAS TOLD I WAS WRONG BY MY MAIN MEN< ZBELLINO< PROLATE AND A FEW CRONIES)
If Belichick goes in that direction, it could make the Pats a better team even while it diminishes some of the offensive output. But there are some huge questions.
First, is this offense capable of running the ball effectively as a primary option?(YES) The running backs are solid, certainly at Antowain Smith's level. Smith was a solid if unspectacular back who fit the system by hardly ever giving up the football. Stevan Ridley fumbled just four times last year (the same number as Smith in 2001), LeGarrette Blount has averaged three fumbles per season andShane Vereen has lost just one. And while the offensive line may have been built to protect Brady,Logan Mankins leads what could potentially be an effective run-blocking unit.
But the Pats' aerial attack has been all-encompassing, especially recently. All of those conversations Belichick had with Chip Kelly led to an uptempo style that complemented it perfectly. I would think a system built around controlling the ball would necessitate a move away from Kelly's hyperspeed influence. Would Belichick be willing to change so drastically?
Finally, a key piece to each of the three Super Bowl teams was the blocking not just from the five linemen, but from the tight ends and wide receivers as well. Daniel Graham may never have become the dual threat he had projected to be, but he was a force in the running game. Receivers like Troy Brown, David Patten and David Givens were always willing to sacrifice their bodies to take out a corner or a downfield safety. Can the group of replacement tight ends approximate Graham? Will the rookie receivers be willing to block?
The 2013 Patriots will have more questions to answer than any of their recent iterations. But if the personnel changes at wide receiver and tight end lead to a return of ball-control football, I'll be eager to see how they are answered.(THEY ANSWERED THE BELL NOW LETS KEEP IT GOING!)