Debunking the Brady Window Theory
posted at 1/24/2011 10:45 AM EST
I think the top two reasons we are all so upset with the failure of the 2005-2010 Pats is that (1) they failed to validate the true dynasty status (4 super bowls in a decade) and, (2) Brady's window may be closing.
With respect to the first, that ship has sailed. I think we all need to stop worrying about "the dynasty" as it relates to Super Bowl wins and start enjoying the sustained run of excellence that allows this team to compete year after year.
With respect to the second point, watching things unfold the past few years has made me realize that, as much as I love Brady, this team was at its best when it had a great defense and an offense that was complementary. Starting in 2005, however, the defense began to decline. BB and SP began to shift the focus to its strongest player - Brady. the results have been great - in the regular season. Records have been broken. The media has been impressed. We have been thrilled. But the problems come in the post season where offense seldom wins. Look at the last several Super Bowl winners. Balt, NE, TB, Pitt, Indy, NYG, Pitt, NO, Pitt or GB. With the exception of Indy and NO, those teams were built on defense and a strong running game. And the Packers, if they win, will win much like they won yesterday - because of D, not the QB.
Further reinforcing this is the fact that the 2008 Pats won 11 games, albeit against a weak slate, with Matt Cassel as QB.
So, going forward, the team should focus on defense and a running game. Having a HOF QB is great, but as he enters the fourth quarter of his career, he should be given the tools to win another Super Bowl - not to put up Manning stats.
My hope for this year? Resign, at all costs, Mankins and Light. Keep Green-Ellis. Trade Merriweather for a 3rd or 4th. And then make one Free Agent splash: Woodley. Then you can draft a No. 1 RB, a DE, and two OG/C's in the first two rounds. Use the remaining four (one from the Merriweather trade) to pick a deep WR, OL, FB, and another DL.