Re: Defense wins championships after all . . .
posted at 8/3/2013 12:41 PM EDT
In response to RallyC's comment:
In response to prolate0spheroid's comment:
Thought this was interesting. It shows the number of TDs given up each season by the D during the Belichick years and the number of TDs scored by the O. There's been a clear trend toward a higher scoring offense throughout the Belichick years. Defense, however, is up and down from year to year. Not surprisingly, it's mostly the years where the D gives up the fewest TDs that Pats seem to have the most success.
Prolate, though there is clear truth to your statement, the problem is that total points scored in the league for the last 3-seasons in a row have set all-time records with that record now sitting at 11651 points scored in 2012. Since the beginning of the Superbowl era began in 1966 there have been no higher totals of points scored in any primary statistical category, offensive or defensive, than what we have seen over these last three seasons.
What this shows us its that you better be able to score not just more points than you ever have had to before, but at NFL record levels every single season as that is the present trend and it doesn't look like it is gonna stop climbing anytime soon with more dynamic offenses entering the scene each and every year. This places the Coaches emphasis squarely on the only scoring entity that any NFL coach has true control over and that is his offense and to a lesser extent, the kick return game. Yes, the defensive numbers for scoring are at all time record highs too, but you cannot be focused on "scoring defense" as it just isn't realistic to expect or strategize for such scoring. With this trend, passing TDs have set all-time records the last two seasons while rushing TD totals have fallen through the floor. So those of you who ask for a more ball controlled offense, FORGET IT. The NFL just doesn't agree with that philosophy any longer.
Now, I do believe that there is merit in bringing more balance to the offensive attack, but only marginally so as the facts show that passing for TDs has afforded teams more points per game than any other method over these last few years without fail so don't expect our offense to stop favoring that method. Bottom line: Your pass D better be good at competing against the pass happy NFL, and you better be scoring at a clip better that 23+ pts per game in 2013-14 if you want to go anywhere............
So Pro, yeah, we need to keep the scoring down, but more likely is that we keep trying to score at a record breaking clip as that is how WE do it. Thank God it looks like our secondary and D over all will be vastly improved.
Good stuff Rally. I think BB has been very smart to turn the offense up to "eleven" especially given the defense's penchant for giving up points. Over the past decade scoring has increased, with teams now averaging almost 36 TDs per season, up from about 33 per season around the start of the millenium. The Pats defense has declined from one that gave up well below the 33 TD per season average to one that gives up a bit more than the new 35 TD per season average. The Pats keep winning because the offense has compensated with its more explosive approach.