Does resigning Welker make sense?
posted at 10/9/2012 3:11 PM EDT
I mean this on both sides. First thing I want to say is: Welker is better with the Patriots and the Patriots are better with Welker. But I have a couple of questions about the possibility of resigning him
From Welker's perspective:
1. 4 of the past 5 seasons he's had over 100 recs and 1000 yards. Yards are yards, whether they come from the outside or the slot...that is top receiver money.
2. He takes more big hits going up the middle than any receiver that I can remember. He's a small guy who is getting up there in age. Not inconceivable that those hits will affect his long term health and this is probably his last big contract. Why take a pay cut?
3. Almost any team will take him. Especially with the amount of young QBs, I feel like teams will view Welker as a great safety blanket for young QBs.
1. They have invested a fair amount of money already on 4 offensive players in Gronk, Hernandez, Brady, Mankins. Lloyd is making a fair amount of money as well.
2. Defense is full of holes and will need upgrades. I wouldn't mind seeing more money spent there for depth.
3. If Welker wants at least a 3 year deal, Edelman, Chung, Spikes, Ridley, McCourty will all need new contracts. Edelman is an interesting prosect because he has not proven much as a WR...but does he come back if Welker resigns? I am sure at least one other team will pay him to be a poor man's Welker. I do not think Chung deserves a big contract, but due to the lack of quality safety's in the league, he can probably get money elsewhere. Spikes is the player I am most interested in seeing how the Pats deal with him.
Losing Welker would hurt the team. But so did losing Law, Milloy, Seymour, Samuel and every other great Pat has hurt the team...yet they still remain competitive.
So my questions are:
What is the Patriots current cap situation? (I honestly don't know)
What do you think the market for Welker will be/ does he take a hometown discount?
Is the potential money Welker will make better invested in Welker or in other players?
My opinion: Welker would not be worth it unless he gave the pats a discount. The offense will suffer a bit without Welker...but I have trouble believing it still would not be a top 5-10 offense with Gronk, lloyd, Hernandez, Ridley and Brady.
Agree? Disagree? Thoughts?