Re: ***It's Day 1 of training camp... predict a sleeper/breakout player for the 2013 season***
posted at 7/27/2013 12:10 PM EDT
OK, I'm going to say it: Tebow. I'll get to that momentarily. First Blount...
I'm no scout, but I've watched Blount play quite a bit. He is not a FB and never has been. He's an indifferent blocker and he's a malcontent if he's not carrying the ball. It's like asking Tebow to line up at TE. Why would you do that when you can just go out and sign a true FB? He's not even built like a FB, he's tall and rangy, not squat like a Sam Gash or Vonta Leach.
His strength is open field running, but he has to get the ball in the open field or get a running lane where he can get through the LOS without too much trouble. He's not going to get there if he has to work his way through too much traffic. In the open field, he's tough to bring down and runs well once he gets up to speed.
He is a terrible short yardage/goal line back. He's not smart, and gets lost in blitz pickup. He can block fine if the guy is coming right at him, but don't ask him to move too much or use his head.
Plus, he's a documented piece of you-know-what and I think that hurts a lot more these days. He's getting cut, absent injuries to other backs.
Tebow can be a breakout guy because he seems willing to do other things besides be a backup QB. If I'm wrong about that, and he is only willing to be a QB, then he gets cut.
He has better skills as a runner than Blount. No idea if he can catch the ball, I guess we may find out.
But I'm thinking that he may be able to replace Hernandez on the roster. Not as a TE, but as a slash guy, a uniquely skilled player who can do multiple things. He's not as fast as Hern and I doubt he can catch the ball as well, but in the open field he is as good a runner and dangerous. Probably blocks better than Hern ever did.
I think he's smart enough to realize by now, his limitations as a NFL QB and that other teams are not willing to bring him on because of the distractions involved. He knows his best/only chance to make it in the NFL is to be versatile. Again, if I read that wrong and he's not willing to do anything other than play under center, then he won't make it.