Re: Jets Schedule & predicted finish
posted at 8/21/2012 12:54 AM EDT
In Response to Re: Jets Schedule & predicted finish
[QUOTE]Paul why do you think Buffalo is lousy? Just out of curiosity. I'll give them 6 wins. The 6 factor was discussed in another thread.
Posted by Philskiw1[/QUOTE]
I count first downs in preseason because most coaches want to see their teams make first downs. Remember that I seriously distrust fumbles, interceptions, fourth down offsides by a defense and other huge plays in preseason.
Fitzpatrick took to the field at home against the Washington Redskins two weeks ago. Washington is a terrible team, and Washington's first team got more first downs than Buffalo. Washington went on to look properly awful at Chicago, so I don't think it was Washington.
Fitzpatrick took to the field at Minnesota. Minnesota is not really a .500 team, and Minnesota's first team got more first downs than Buffalo. Minnesota almost broke even at San Francisco in week 1 of preseason, so it might partly be Minnesota being good enough to beat Buffalo.
Maybe Buffalo will get its act together by November. Right now they're showing serious incompetence, and so that's what I would expect to see in week 3 of preseason.
This is the same team that dropped off a massive cliff into the far distance like Wyle E. Coyote last year, finishing a 1-8 plunge with a little dust cloud poof on week 17.
So, why shouldn't I assume that every significant starter on the Buffalo team has quietly snapped an ACL or something, and the team won't get any better in three weeks? Where's the spark of hope?
My preseason numbers have too low a signal to noise ratio, but as of today I give Buffalo 2.8 wins out of a 16 game season. You could argue me up to 4 wins because Buffalo has some hope with their signings, but probably not 6 wins.