Re: Nnamdi Asomugha - (what are Patriots waiting for ? )
posted at 3/29/2013 3:13 PM EDT
In response to TrueChamp's comment:
Maybe Bill Belichick is just plain smart....
In this series of pieces, Pro Football Focus is hammering into the value of players. To us it’s a “Performance Based Value” number, telling you what players were worth (by our grading) in 2012. You can read about the work we’ve done to create it here, but in short:
• It’s solely about what a player did on the field in 2012
• Players are grouped by positions so their play essentially earns them a portion of the positional salary pool
• It’s all about cap hits (these values are approximate)
Let’s take a look at the league’s most overvalued CBs.
1. Darrelle Revis, New York Jets
2012 Cap Hit: $11.5m
2012 Performance Based Value: $950k
Value Differential: -$10.6m
Perhaps it’s not entirely fair to include Revis on this list, as he lasted just 93 snaps into the season and compiled an outstanding +5.9 grade in his limited action before going down with an ACL tear. Nevertheless, a season-ending injury didn’t prevent a cap hit of over $11 million, and regardless of how good Revis has been, the Jets just didn’t get anywhere close to the value that they paid for in 2012.
2. Brent Grimes, Atlanta Falcons
2012 Cap Hit: $10.3m
2012 Performance Based Value: $40k
Value Differential: -$10.2m
With a stellar 2011 season in which he received an overall grade of +17.2, Grimes earned the franchise tag and, unfortunately for Atlanta, the massive cap hit that came along with it. It would’ve been difficult to play up to that kind of value at all and only three CBs did so in 2012. So it’s not a surprise that Grimes fell far short of that mark after he went down with an Achilles after playing just 52 snaps.
3. Nnamdi Asomugha, Philadelphia Eagles
2012 Cap Hit: $11.0m
2012 Performance Based Value: $1.1m
Value Differential: -$9.9m
Despite a solid year in run defense, Asomugha was doomed by surrendering five touchdowns and allowing more than 66 percent of passes to be completed for a 15.9 yard average. The former Raider consistently failed to live up to his reputation and enormous salary in his second year with the Eagles.
I don't think BB has a crystal ball, though, to predict injuries. Revis and Grimes wouldn't be at the top of that list if they both weren't injured early in the season. (In fact, they both had positive value in the prior seasons when they were healthy according to that article.)