I played with a couple of the "Playoff Calculators" and it looks as though the Pats need to win 3 of the last 4 to lock in the Number 1 seed.

They hold tiebreakers against the Steelers, Ravens, and Jets.

Correct?

It depends who they lose to. Losing to Chicago or Green Bay is not a big deal, out of conference opponents, but losing to Miami or Buffalo, division opponents, could affect tie-breakers, i.e. divisional record or record against common opponents. We hold the tie breakers now but that could change. I wouldn't worry about it, I'm confident the Jets will lose again. I know that means nothing...

it really depends on how other teams play since the jets and pitt play eachother one of them have to take another loss if the Phins manage to beat the jets this week we are golden