Re: Patriots-Bengals Matchup
posted at 10/5/2013 8:55 AM EDT
In response to Harvey-Wallbanger's comment:
One thing I noticed with their offense, as similar as it is to Atlanta's minus that second lethal flanker, is the idea they're subbing their RBs in the flawed way we were doing it here, which tips off what play they are running.
I noticed it when they played Pitt on the national game. When Benard comes in it's an 80% chance a pass and quite possibly to him out of the backfield.
I think we can play zone on 3rd and either blitz or put Arrington as a spy on Benard. If they use mostly BJGE, then it's a different story.
But, I think that is why their run game isn't cutting it for them so far this year. Benard is a scatback, but if you never hand off to him with a toss, a counter or one of those kinds of runs, the D will know BJGE is in there to run it and run it only.
They're making the mistakes we did when he had Woodhead in here and subbed our backs in and out for skill set per kind of play being run. It doesn't work in this league anymore because defenses are too smart and FAST in general.
Actually, not subbing players is what doesn't work in the NFL anymore. Every team in the league subs backs, receivers, TEs constantly. The reason is simple: to get different combinations of offensive skillsets on the field and present the defense with different challenges and match-up problems. Sure, the particular combination of players you have in tips off the defense about what types of plays you're most likely to run, but that doesn't mean you stop subbing. If you did stop subbing, you'd only be able to do what your regular line-up is capable of doing (i.e., you'd still be tipping off the defense and also would become very one-dimensional) or you would be running plays that your regular line-up isn't good at (which might surprise the defense once or twice, but would mostly mean many of your plays would be unsuccessful because they weren't good matches for your players' skills).
Time to just admit it. BJGE isn't that great a back or all that versatile. Because of that, you can't just ride him and never sub for him. Leaving BJGE in the game all the time won't fool the defense . . . it will just make their job even easier. There's a reason the Bengals drafted Bernard. It's the same reason BB drafted Ridley and Vereen. BJGE is a limited player who needs to be subbed for by backs who can do different things and--ideally--are just better runners and receivers overall.