Pats rated 4th in conference?

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from mlmka. Show mlmka's posts

    Pats rated 4th in conference?

    As far as the second bye after Indy. They have the same record as SD and Cincy, same conference record. Anyone ?
     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from Patsdateam. Show Patsdateam's posts

    Re: Pats rated 4th in conference?

    Do you want to know why that is? Then, it counts on your divisional record against your division. The Bengals are undefeated inside their division, so they are ranked 2nd. Don't know why the Chargers are on top of us.
     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from mlmka. Show mlmka's posts

    Re: Pats rated 4th in conference?

    In Response to Re: Pats rated 4th in conference?:
    [QUOTE]Do you want to know why that is? Then, it counts on your divisional record against your division. The Bengals are undefeated inside their division, so they are ranked 2nd. Don't know why the Chargers are on top of us.
    Posted by Patsdateam[/QUOTE]


    I don't think division record has anything to do with it. Maybe strength of schedule?
     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from zbellino. Show zbellino's posts

    Re: Pats rated 4th in conference?

    No. They never count divisional games when deciding conference seeding.

    The first thing they look at in the case of a tie of conference records is head to head, then common opponents, but you need to have played four common opponents.

    The third thing they look at, which is why Cincy and SD are ahead of them, is strength of victory, meaning the combined winning percentage of teams you have beaten.

    Beating New Orleans helps this cause tremendously.

    As of last tuesday, their records were CIN (33-37), SD (32-38), NE (27-43).

    IF NE, Cincy and SD all win next week, NE can take the lead in seeding if . . .
    Miami beats Buffalo
    Atlanta beats TB
    Baltimore beats Pitt
    Minny beats Chicago
    and Philly beats Washington

     . . .  based on the fact that both the Bolts and Bengals are playing terrible teams again and NE is playing a very good team.

    In that case the records would be  . . .
    CIN (37-51), SD (38-50), and NE (40-48)

    Those figures assume probable victors with a statistical wash on the two toss up games Bal/Pit and Phil/Wash.

    I think, lookin down the road, if NE wins out, they should be able to take a week off in the first round. If they lose to New Orleans, then they are going to need some help down the line in the form of two losses by each Cincy and SD. 

    The strength of opponents down the line is about even for all three teams at CIN [24-27], SD and NE [23-28].

    Given that Cincy or SD must lose once because they play each other once, a loss at New Orleans, without help, virtually guarantees a third or fourth place finish in the conference without Cincy and SD losing twice.

    Although this Sunday's game isn't as large as the Miami game, or even the Jax or Houston game, because both teams are factoring in the AFC playoff race and losses would not only open the door for them, but open it with tiebreakers for home field advantage  should they meet, it is still large in the sense that New England really needs to beat someone excellent to get a chance at a bye and a couple games at home in January.


     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from zbellino. Show zbellino's posts

    Re: Pats rated 4th in conference?

    I would add this as well  . . . what could help NE down the stretch is if . . .

    The Jets don't roll over and play dead. A victory against Carolina at home could start that off.

    Tennessee continuing to improve and play good football, a victory agianst Zona at home helps that as well.
     

Share