Re: Pats should consider a return to a ball control offense...
posted at 7/8/2013 11:43 AM EDT
In response to russgriswold's comment:
In response to Not-A-Shot's comment:
In response to russgriswold's comment:
Since 2005, 32 TDs and 19 INTs in the postseason is nowhere near 2:1.
Tears! Phatty Virgin is so dumb he doesn't what ratios are! bahwhah! Cannot be made up. Can't.
Three less picks and it's 2:1. I'd say that's a lot closer to "near" than "nowhere near".
40 TDs, and 20 INTs would be 2:1. Regardless, that's still a bad ratio because that is way too many picks, especially when you consider in the 2011 divisionals vs a bad Denver team, BRady had a bloated stat line of 6 TDs and 0 INTs.
So, even that is misleading. Why do I care if he has 6 TDs vs Denver and then 0 TDs and 2 INTs the next week in the title game vs Baltimore? I care more that he was so awful after throwing 6 TDs the week before! You should, too, but you're a troll and not a Pats fan, hence why you're playing these games.
Look at this way, take out his best and worst games from 2005-2012 and his ratio is 24 TDs, 15 INTs.
Anyway you cut it, that's not good. He's 6 TDs off from getting it to 2:1.
Then, you look at his AFC title games or SBs where he faces the better defenses and still isn't good.
Just forget it. You can't change history or facts.
Here's some history and facts for you.
If you actually did some research ( and left your unnatural hate for TB out of it) you would find that although interceptions are an integral factor in deciding winners and losers, they are NOT a good indication of QB play.
In essence, raw INT stats show a highly distorted picture.
More often than not, INTS are the fault of the receiver.
Ints occur on roughly 3% of all throws. That means good throws and bad throws. It's what happens after the fact that determines whether that good or bad throw is completed or an in-completion or an interception. A receiver can catch a bad pass, drop a good one or he can let a perfect pass clang off his helmet, resulting in an int.
Since (most) nfl QB's throw more good throws than bad, it stands to reason that more good throws are intercepted than bad, simply because there are more of them.
IE. Receiver error.
There are also more influencing factors than simply a bad throw and or receiver error.
Stats show that: Game time situation plays a major role in influencing the 3% of all throws that end up being intercepted.
Three times as many ints are thrown in the last 2 minutes in a half as apposed to the rest of the game. Defenses know passes are coming and that gives them a distinct advantage. Also the O is probably going to be a little more reckless in their attempt to get a quick score.
The distance the ball is thrown affects interception numbers. In 2010, balls thrown behind the line of scrimmage were intercepted just 1.1% of the time. Between 0-10 yards, the interception rate went up to 2.0%. From 10-20 yards, it doubled again to 4.0%, and for passes over 20 yards, it jumps all the way to 8.2%. Reference: Profootball focus stats.
For those wanting TB to throw more 20yrd passes, please rethink that. It's great to have the threat of a long ball, but attempting them more often, will certainly lead to more ints.
4 times as many as compared to 0-10 yrd passes.
Whether or not the quarterback is under pressure also contributes. Well-protected quarterbacks throw interceptions 2.56% of the time. If under pressure, however, that number goes to 3.90%. It makes sense in that quarterbacks generally make poorer decisions when facing pressure. Again, Profootball focus, stats
Most errors happen AFTER the ball leaves the QB's hands but what happens BEFORE can have an influence, too. IE. Offensive line breakdown.
These are just a few influencing factors in determining when and when not a QB is at fault.
As you can plainly see (if you open your eyes) more often than not, they ARE NOT!
These stats apply to all QB's in all games. Tom Brady, just happens to be one of them.