Re: Predictions for Pats vs Browns this sunday
posted at 11/5/2010 12:19 PM EDT
In Response to Re: Predictions for Pats vs Browns this sunday
[QUOTE]Is it me, or is a Pats -4 spread a little low? I get they beat NOs, had a BYE, etc, but you get 3 being at home, so this is more like a true 7, I guess. Colt McCoy against a zone BB D? Hello? McCoy hasn't faced zone much in college and NOs doesn't play zone much at all. Pats will stack the box and make McCoy throw. Pats need a clean Special Teams effort here. Big time. 27-10, NE.
Posted by BBReigns[/QUOTE]
True. I think the biggest threat that the Browns pose to any team is on special teams. Josh Cribbs is one of the best in the NFL at returning kicks, and if the Pats want to make sure the Browns don't put up points on the board in a hurry or win the field position battle, they're going to have to make sure that Cribbs is a non-factor.
Even if Cribbs doesn't take a kick to the endzone, if he's ripping off big returns all day, McCoy is going to have a short field to work with, and if he gets that early on, his confidence could grow throughout the day; he'll be harder and harder to defend with each passing drive. He was an efficient QB in college, and he showed that he can lead an NFL team to victory against good competition. BUt we must remember that he's also a rookie, so he's also prone to the occasional slip-up. Basically, the longer the distance McCoy has to travel to the endzone, the more time he will be exposed to the Pats D, and there will be a greater chance of him throwing a pick or losing control of the passing game. Pin McCoy deep, and it should be a long day for him - I don't think he's reached the point where he can consistently lead 80+ yard drives for scores.
Sound play on special teams is MUST for the Pats in this game. Hopefully, Gostowski continues his recent trend of forcing touchbacks instead of returns.
When all is said and done, I like the Pats 34-23. I'm being liberal with the amount of points the Browns might score, because I think McCoy might perform better than expected. Hopefully, that doesn't change the outcome; the most important thing in this game is to get the win and to make sure everyone's healthy for the upcoming games against Pitt and Indy.