Preseason power ratings, middle of week 2 through Saturday night -- doesn’t yet include the Patriots game next Monday night.
For preseason, I care about the best 50% of a team’s plays. If they’re scoring first downs except for some boners, they’re going to be fine and dandy the day after final cuts. If they can’t do anything at all now, they still won’t do anything in September.
I don’t want to count a first and goal from the 1 as a real first down try. Almost any team can score that. If an offense can get to the 1, just give them the touchdown in preseason. I’ll accept first and goal from the 5 as a fairer test of an offense’s mettle.
My week 2 first down counts comparing first-string quarterbacks, with an equal number of possessions for both teams:
mia car 5 Miami appears to be installing a new offense and a new defense this summer. They were playing pretty tough at the end of last year, but these things happen with a new coach.
was chi 5 Chicago recovers from that debacle versus Denver, although Washington is still apparently a bunny this year.
kc stl -4 Again, good team versus bunny. One difference is that it’s an away game for Kansas City.
sf hou -4 Now this one’s interesting. Houston didn’t lie down, it got beat.
dal sd -4 San Diego is somebody’s sexy pick to win the AFC west. They stunk tonight.
ten tb -3 Tennessee: not at all like last week.
oak az -3 Arizona continues to show nothing at all this preseason. Zilch!
buf min 3 Minnesota has gotten over the whole Brett Favre thing. Buffalo might not be such a hot young team on the rise, not yet.
cin atl -2 Cincy is turning out to be a player.
jac no -2 Maybe New Orleans is suffering just a little from the sanctions.
det bal 2 Baltimore gets its self-respect going.
cle gb 2 An acceptable but lackluster effort by Green Bay.
nyg nyj -1 Neutral site. The Jets have a really good defense but their offense is on a milk carton.
sea den 1 Peyton Manning seems to be scoring first downs, but Seattle’s defense got him off the field about 4 times. Curious. Not the Super show of force Denver fans would want.
This week’s power ratings are characterized by lots of pretty strong teams and a number of severe runts at the bottom of the pile.
1 ne 13.7 (last March, #1)
2 pit 13.3 (last March, #9)
3 sf 12.7 (last March, #4)
4 no 12.0 (last March, #3)
5 gb 11.3 (last March, #2)
6 hou 10.6 (last March, #8)
7 bal 10.6 (last March, #7)
8 cin 10.5 (last March, #19)
9 atl 9.7 (last March, #11)
10 jac 9.3 (last March, #28)
11 dal 9.2 (last March, #15)
12 det 9.2 (last March, #13)
13 nyg 9.0 (last March, #5)
14 sea 8.7 (last March, #17)
15 kc 8.6 (last March, #29)
16 phi 8.4 (last March, #6)
17 den 8.4 (last March, #23)
18 ten 8.1 (last March, #18)
19 oak 8.1 (last March, #25)
20 car 7.9 (last March, #21)
21 sd 7.8 (last March, #14)
22 chi 7.8 (last March, #16)
23 cle 7.2 (last March, #27)
24 nyj 7.1 (last March, #12)
25 min 6.8 (last March, #26)
26 mia 4.3 (last March, #10)
27 was 4.0 (last March, #24)
28 buf 3.2 (last March, #22)
29 az 3.1 (last March, #20)
30 tb 3.0 (last March, #31)
31 ind 2.1 (last March, #32)
32 stl 0.4 (last March, #30)
So there you have it. Yes, these results will affect my point-spread numbers for week 1 of the regular season. The latest Patriots results will be added in after they play.
You are reading these ratings for free courtesy of myself.