Re: Receiver production numbers
posted at 3/27/2013 6:49 PM EDT
In response to RidingWithTheKingII's comment:
In response to mia76's comment:
I was just thinking about the Welker/Amendola situation and the various opinions from the Brady's binky crowd and joy/sadness that he will not be back. Some of the numbers are interesting.
Brady threw 637 passes last season and about 30% of those were to Welker (174) Add in Edelman (32) and the slot got almost one third of Brady's targets. Lloyd was targeted 130 times and Branch 29 times so the receivers lining up wide got about 25%. The rest went to TEs and RBs (40+%)
Compare that to what happened in Denver with Decker at 123 targets and Thomas at 141 and assuming they involve their TEs and backs in the passing game. it is very unlikely that Welker will see anything like the number of targets he did in NE. Part of that is better wide outs and part is different system.
That's correct. Also, Gomer's steady transition and improved play as the year went was because they committed to the run.
I am almost hoping they try to target Welker like we did here (which was too much), where it takes away from what Gomer had to had to be effective last year, which was playaction.
McGehee and then Moreno really helped Gomer.
Overall, it gives them an added dynamic, but their offense also struggled last year against the better Ds like Houston, Atlanta and dare I say it, even NE, completely containing Denver until BB called off the dogs up 34-7 in the 3rd.
As many have said Welker needed Brady and the system more than the system here needed Welker.
Russ, are you mia76? You're the only guy I have heard use the "Brady's binky" phrase. If so, did you just agree with yourself?
Anyway, Welker might not get that high a number of targets nor should he, but fans are fooling themselves if they think Welker will not have an enormous impact in that offense. If Peyton stays healthy, they will be regular season champions...again.