Re: Sunday forecast: Sleet, freezing rain giving way to rain/snow showers, with temp in mid 30s
posted at 12/16/2012 3:58 PM EST
In response to WazzuWheatfarmer's comment:
Niners are kind of built for these types of conditions, but I'll take Brady in a snow/sleet/windy game at home any day.
I disagree. The Niners are built for fairly beautiful San Francisco weather, not counting a little fog coming off the ocean. In northern California people wear sweaters loosely around their shoulders, in case the sun drops behind a fog bank and they need their sweaters.
At this time, 3:30 p.m., the ice-rain line runs from Warwick, RI through Plymouth, MA. The sleet-snow line runs through Pawtucket. There may have been a snow flurry through Foxboro 2 hours ago. Precipitation is on and off. If anything, I'd say that the forecast leans toward some real oobleck (a Dr. Suess reference).
The first thing to suffer in bad weather is the long bomb. Too often the bomb dies in a swirling wind gust and comes down into the defender's arms. The rain causes more dropped passes, especially with those marginal snags on bombs.
Brady can still hit his short hard 5 yard passes into the flats, although a couple extra passes will be dropped today. Kaepernick can do the same except that he's built for chucking bombs, not for accuracy on short routes, and his speedy receivers are built more for deep passes.
If it gets icy, both running games actually do pretty well because the runner knows which way he's cutting. The defenseman is left flat footed. The same goes for yards after the catch. Tennessee got murdered in Foxboro something like 59-0 after a couple inches of snow greased the field. Tennessee could no longer defend the quick New England receivers. Randy Moss did well too. He's on the other team now, but he's not what he used to be.
If it gets rainy, the soil gets soggy and runners slow down to a crawl as it were. Getting 10 yards out of 3 downs becomes nearly impossible for runners, and punts are frequent. Really fast runners suffer the most.
My advice to San Francisco is to wear the right cleats. Just don't ask me what the right cleats are.