Re: Tavon Wilson: My Scouting Report
posted at 4/30/2012 7:49 PM EDT
That's right...just as you're speculating that San Diego or some other team was going to pounce on Wilson. But...so what if they did! The bottom line is that this kid wasn't worth spending the 48th overall pick on, from a value standpoint.
How do you know he wasn't worth the 48th pick? It's not like there's some kind of absolute standard that applies. If BB thought he was worth the 48th pick and was concerned he might not be able to get him later, then he was worth the 48th pick.
If you had no inkling that the Pats were interested in Wilson, and some other team took him after the Pats had either traded down or selected, say, one of the top DTs remaining, would it even have fazed you?
Of course not. But it may have fazed BB if BB really wanted the kid, thinking he was the best safety available and needing a decent safety. My opinions (relatively uninformed) aren't worth a hill of beans compared with BB's. Neither are yours, for that matter . . . or those of any of the various talking heads who aren't running the team.
I don't see anything about Wilson that leads me to believe that he's a significantly better prospect than, say, Brandon Taylor.
From the film I've looked at, I actually think Wilson looks better. But I'm not a professional scout.
That's your prerogative. But, BB's track record doesn't merit such blind confidence. In addition, Wilson's body of work in college didn't demonstate that he's an elite prospect...worthy of the 48th pick.
I've been one of the guys who thinks BB is a very good GM, but not necessarily a whole lot better than few other top GMs. I fully admit BB makes mistakes in talent evaluation sometimes and that Wilson may turn out to be a mistake. But I do trust that BB's skills as a talent evaluator are way above those of most of us and most of the various journalists who put together lists. Having looked at a bunch of the videos now available on the web for Wilson, Taylor, and Ikola, I have to admit I think Wilson is quite comparable. I also think safety was a big need and while drafting for need isn't always the best strategy, it's better to draft for need and have a safety than draft for value in a position you've already got covered and then not have a safety.