Re: This isn't balance.
posted at 10/5/2012 10:04 AM EDT
Pretty much what Laz said. Why do people who argue against balance also say 50/50 split when it's not the case at all. Balance leads to unpredictability and better performance. Examples that aren't balanced but have 50/50 split are if the team runs the first 12 plays all runs the next 25 all passes and the final 13 all runs. That's 50/50 but not balance when it relates to football in any sense. That is not football balance, football balance is tossing in the run at unpredictable times to a point where teams can't count on passing the ball a vast majority of the time any given series. That does not require a perfect 50/50 spilt but closer to the league average of 55:45 used in the right situations is considered balance.
Also given the trends in the rules it's no shock that previously it favored the run and now it favors the pass. No one is questioning that there should be more passes then runs but what that difference is does make a huge difference whether you like to admit it or not. If you have any question about it look at the Pats win % when they throw the ball >60% of time verses <60% of the time and it's astounding. Even more amazing is that in at least half of the games they lost throwing the ball >60% of the time they were either within 1 score or had the lead going into the 4th so they didn't pass the ball more often because they needed to play catch up.
But, unlike Babe, I don't general question BB's coaching ability. Appearently BB prefers balance too:
By ESPN Field Yates
Taken from today's conference call with Bill Belichick:
On how important balance is to an offense
"I think it's a great way to play, because it just forces the defense to have to react and cover everything. Defensively, that's where you want them, you want them to think about all their responsibilities: outside runs, inside runs, deep passes, short passes, screen passes, misdirection plays, inside routes, outside routes, inside receivers, outside receivers. Just to have good balance keeps them from ganging up on one thing. If you can do that, then it opens up a lot of other things. As an example, like on the touchdown pass to [Rob] Gronkowski [in Week 4], it's so hard to get a player like that that open on a drop-back pass. The defenders see the pass and they go to match their coverage and take their guy, but when you can have a run action that draws the defenders up, you get a guy behind them like Rob did on that play. A big part of that play was the play action, and the run threat that we had presented in the game had caused the linebackers to displace a little bit and we were able to get behind them, so the running game helps the passing game, the passing game helps the running game. Throwing to the receivers helps the tight end, throwing to the tight ends helps the receivers, throwing to the receivers helps the backs. It just all creates spacing and forces the defense to handle the whole field, and I think that just gives the offense good opportunities. I think that's a good way to be able to attack offensively. Sometimes a defense will be intent in taking a certain aspect of your game away, and say, 'OK, we're not going to let you beat us with this, so we're going to give you that,' you have to be able to do that."
"But it's pretty clear the facts show for some 3 decades NFL teams have passed about 35 times a game and run about 27."
learn what a decade is. According to your chart the 35 pass to 27 run started around 1990 and your chart goes to 2010 which is 2 decades not 3