Tom vs. Ben...Myths and Facts
posted at 2/4/2009 4:15 PM EST
First, let me say that while I am a die-hard fan of all flavors of Boston and New England sports, I am a Steelers fan. Have been for almost 40 years. OK, get your shots in and let's get that out of the way....
While I love Ben, I will admit that there are more times than not when the ball leaves his hand, I am scared. It's backyard football at it's best, it's exciting, but also scary. When Tom throws, I am just as scared. But, for a totally different reason.
Much has been made of late about Ben getting into Tom and Peyton's class. He's not there. However, he's probably closer than you might think. What he did in the SB he's actually been doing a lot over his career. I was fully confident he'd drive down and tie that game. Winning it? Not quite as confident, but I still thought he could do it. Now, onto the facts:
Career season averages for each:
Tom: 256-406 (63%) for 3766 yards, 22 TD/9 INT, 92.9 QB Rating.
Ben: 238-381 (62.4%) for 2995 yards, 20 TD/14 INT, 89.4 QB Rating.
*Ben rushes for about 50 yards more a year and picks up an extra touchdown+ rushing. This was neglible. I expected it to be more.
Post Season per game averages:
Tom: 22-35 (63%) for 232 yards, 1.5 TD/.7 INT, 89 QB Rating.
Ben: 17-28 (61%) for 224 yards, 1.5 TD/1.2 INT, 83.5 QB Rating.
*Ben averages about ten yards a game rushing more, closing that gap a bit, as his average per rush is much higher. Tom's PS career record is 14-3; Ben's is 8-2.
Super Bowl Game Averages:
Tom: 25-39 (64%) for 250 yards, 1.75 TD/.25 INT, 94.5 QB Rating.
Ben: 15-26 (59%) for 190 yards, .5 TD/1.5 INT, 65 QB Rating
*Again, Ben picks up about ten yards of rushing and has a rushing TD. Tom is 3-1 in Super Bowls, Ben 2-0.
Obviously, the biggest statistical difference between the two is Ben's horrible performance in SB 40. He was atrocious. Tom was the MVP, and in a game devoid of outstanding performances, was a deserving choice IMO.
Compare the two games:
Tom: 16-27 (59.3%) for 145 yards, 1 TD/ 0 INT, 86.2 QB Rating
Ben: 9-21 (42.9%) for 123 yards, 0 TD/2 INT, 22.6 QB Rating.
-- />The difference between these two games is summed up this way: Ben's two picks, Tom's great drive. Take away Tom's drive where he was 5-6 for 53 yards, and he was a rather ho-hum all game long. See below:
11-21 (52%) for 92 yards, 1 TD/0 INT, 64.7 Rating.
Tom was called upon to put his team on his back to win it at the end, and he did. Kudos to him. Ben didn't need to at the end. I'd be lying if I thought he would've done it if called upon, though.
What this study showed, to me anyway, is that Brady is better statistically then Ben in almost every category. Ben gets more out of his attempts (YPA and TD% are both higher), and he adds in the occasional rushing yards that Tom does not. I did not calculate sacks, but rest assured Tom will be much better in this category than Ben. Ben is the most sacked quaterback in football over the last few years. He's on his back more than...ah, you get the point.
Make no mistake...Tom is a better QB. It's just not as far apart as one would think.