Re: We are balanced.
posted at 2/24/2012 9:24 PM EST
In Response to Re: We are balanced.
[QUOTE]People seem to complain a bit about the SB specifically with regards to the play calling. In it's simplest form any reasonable person could at least see where they are at least coming from looking at some basic facts. Pats In the SB game. Pats pass and run percentages (last drive removed, obvious passing situation) 63% pass 37% run Pats pass and run percentages (including their last drive) 68% pass 32% run Avg pass and run percentages of 12 teams with winning records in 2011 (who cares about the league as a whole, I always want to know what the teams that are winning are doing) 56% pass 44% run Pass and run percentages of Ravens, 49ers (the two teams one could make an argument would have been in the SB had it not been for mental mistakes in the championship games) Ravens (regular season) 54% pass 46% run 49ers (regular season) 48% pass 52% run Giants in SB game 59% pass 41% run So, in it's simplest form, I again state that any "reasonable" person can clearly see that the Patriots ( in that SB game ) is off the normal ratios of all the winning teams and the 2 other conference championship game competitors numbers. 7% lower in running vs the avg of the 12 winning teams during the regular season. You can make an argument that the only reason the Ravens and 49ers run so much is they don't have a TB. I would agree 100% except that in the SB he basically didn't have 1 of his top two targets. That changes the argument completely back in favor of being a lil bit more protective of the passing game. Not only that, but in spite of TB being one of the greatest ever, let's be honest he has not been great at protecting the ball for more than a few years now in the post season. Now the Giants were at least somewhat close in ratio to the Pats but again they had their full complement of receivers and yet the Pats with a gimpy Gronkowski still threw a greater percentage. Again, let me be clear. I am not writing to say I have a problem with the season ratios or balance. Only saying I can at least see where people are coming from. Especially in the SB minus Gronkowski, basically. My concerns have not been the ratio but how, who, and when they use the RB's period.
Posted by Low-FB-IQ[/QUOTE]
This is the most rational post I've read from the "pro-run" side, Low-FB-IQ. As I'm sure you're aware, if they had switched two of their pass plays to run plays, they would have had the same running percentage as the Giants (excluding the last drive, which of course was all passes). So the difference in ratios between the Giants and Pats (up to the last Pats drive) was fairly negligible.
I do tend to agree that they should probably have had a back-up plan for Gronk. That may have meant running more--or it may have meant involving Ocho or Edelman more. Or maybe it meant taking a risk with Ridley.
I have trouble, though, believing Belichick didn't consider all those options. Belichick has a history of getting the most out of players--witness even Maroney who was at least able to play at a mediocre level in New England, despite being unable to play at all elsewhere. I think if it was possible to get more from Ocho or Edelman or anyone, Belichick would have been the guy to do it.
My feeling is the team still needs a few pieces to be truly championship calibre. My take on this season is that Belichick did a brilliant job getting a flawed team to the Super Bowl. He almost won the Super Bowl too . . . but in the end, the team wasn't quite good enough to beat a good Giants team. With a healthy Gronk the outcome may have been different. But I was at the Ravens game and when Gronk got hurt (and I thought he was done for the season at that point) I turned to my friend and said "That's it. We can't win without him." Our offense just doesn't have enough weapons and losing a key one like Gronk really makes it limited. Combine that with a shakey defense and I didn't think this team had what it takes to win.
I think the Super Bowl showed that. I'm not complaining about the coaching. In fact, I think they did a great job to do as well as they did. I think what matters now is the offseason--can we get the pieces on offense and defense we need to get a better shot next year? Put the right talent with Brady and Belichick and I have no doubt this team has another ring in its future. But we need the talent. And right now, we're a piece or two away.