Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    This is the week Arizona starts its run at that hotly-contested NFC West crown.

    It may not be mathematically possible, but I am rooting hard for the Cardinals to "take" the division at 6-10.

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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    1.) (9-4) Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5) @ (9-4) New York Giants: PICK: Giants;

    2.) (5-8) San Francisco 49ers (+8.5) @ (7-6) San Diego Chargers: The Bolts continue on their late charge to capture yet another AFC West title. Barring another special teams nightmare, they'll continue on the march:
    PICK: Chargers;

    3.) (8-5) Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5) @ (6-7) St. Louis Rams: PICK: Chiefs;

    4.) (5-8) Houston Texans (+2) @ (5-8) Tennessee Titans: PICK: Texans;

    5.) (8-5) Jacksonville Jaguars (+5) @ (7-6) Indianapolis Colts: PICK: Jags;

    6.) (4-9) Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) @ (1-12) Carolina Panthers: PICK: Cardinals;

    7.) (5-8) Cleveland Browns (+1.5) @ (2-11) Cincinnati Bengals: PICK: Browns;

    8.) (3-10) Buffalo Bills (+5.5) @ (7-6) Miami Dolphins: PICK: Dolphins;

    9.) (5-8) Washington Redskins (+6) @ (4-9) Dallas Cowboys: PICK: Cowboys;

    10.) (8-5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ (3-10) Detroit Lions (+6): PICK: Bucs;

    11.) (10-3) New Orleans Saints (+2.5) @ (9-4) Baltimore Ravens: PICK: Ravens; 

    12.) (11-2) Atlanta Falcons @ (6-7) Seattle Seahawks (+6): PICK: Falcons;

    13.) (9-4) New York Jets (+6) @ (10-3) Pittsburgh Steelers: PICK: Steelers;

    14.) (3-10) Denver Broncos (+6.5) @ (6-7) Oakland Raiders: PICK: Raiders;

    15.) (8-5) Green Bay Packers (+9.5) @ (11-2) New England Patriots: PICK: Patriots;

    16.) (9-4) Chicago Bears (+1.5) @ (5-8) Minnesota VikingsPICK: Bears;  

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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    As you might have guessed, New England continues to pull away into the stratosphere above all sorts of great teams that they just whaled on.

    Green Bay played one half of one football game without Aaron Rodgers, and that may have dragged them down a bit but not too much.  The full impact of having a hole at quarterback may not be reflected in Green Bay’s power rating.  Green Bay fans are of course hoping that Rodgers will return as if nothing had happened, but we just won’t know.  If Aaron Rodgers shows up (and he’s healthy) then my numbers only have New England by 8, but I’ll listen to non-numeric arguments that Brady’s on a red-hot streak.

    1   ne   15.2   (last wk. 1)

    2   pit   12.0   (last wk. 4)

    3   gb   11.9   (last wk. 2)

    4   nyg   11.8   (last wk. 6)

    5   atl   11.8   (last wk. 5)

    6   phi   11.3   (last wk. 3)

    7   bal   11.1   (last wk. 7)

    8   sd   10.6   (last wk. 11)

    9   no   10.5   (last wk. 10)

    10   mia   9.7   (last wk. 13)

    11   nyj   9.4   (last wk. 9)

    12   chi   9.2   (last wk. 8)

    13   jac   8.7   (last wk. 12)

    14   ind   8.1   (last wk. 14)

    15   dal   8.0   (last wk. 22)

    16   ten   7.8   (last wk. 24)

    17   tb   7.8   (last wk. 20)

    18   cle   7.7   (last wk. 16)

    19   min   7.3   (last wk. 15)

    20   det   7.3   (last wk. 23)

    21   hou   7.3   (last wk. 18)

    22   oak   6.8   (last wk. 21)

    23   sf   6.8   (last wk. 25)

    24   stl   6.7   (last wk. 17)

    25   kc   6.6   (last wk. 19)

    26   buf   6.3   (last wk. 26)

    27   cin   5.4   (last wk. 27)

    28   was   5.2   (last wk. 28)

    29   sea   2.2   (last wk. 29)

    30   car   2.0   (last wk. 31)

    31   az   1.9   (last wk. 32)

    32   den   1.8   (last wk. 30)

    Upcoming games:

    Home/Visitor/My points/The Betting Public’s opinion / Difference

    sf   sd     8.7   8.5   0.2

    buf   mia     8.1   5.5   2.6

    cle   cin     -0.4   1.5   -1.9

    det   tb     3.8   6   -2.2

    hou   ten     3.9   2   1.9

    phi   nyg     3.8   2.5   1.3

    no   bal     3.8   2.5   1.3

    az   car     3.2   2.5   0.7

    jac   ind     2.2   5   -2.8

    kc   stl     3.2   1.5   1.7

    was   dal     7.3   6   1.3

    atl   sea     -11.4   -6   -5.4

    nyj   pit     6.9   6   0.9

    den   oak     10.5   6.5   4.0

    gb   ne     8.0   9.5   -1.5

    chi   min     0.2   1.5   -1.3

    Note to Tex:  Yahoo Sports says that Detroit is playing at Tampa Bay. 

    Game of the Week:

    atl   sea     -11.4   -6   -5.4

    New England all over the Jets sure worked two weeks ago.  Last week’s game of the week was Atlanta to punch out Carolina, and that one sure worked 31-10.  Time to ride Atlanta again over another bozo. 

    Minor call

    den   oak     10.5   6.5   4.0

    I hate calling anything for Oakland.  Meh!

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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    Here's some dirt on the Packers.  It's not just their quarterback.

    When QB Aaron Rodgers (+1.6) got taken out of the game with a concussion, Packers fans were curious to see how QB Matt Flynn (-2.4) would perform. He ended up with a terrible performance, only completing three of his ten passes beyond 10 yards and missing on some shorter passes as well. He was only under pressure eight times as the Packers started to use more blockers as the game went on, but in those pressures he threw an interception and got sacked twice.

    It felt like LOLB Clay Matthews (-4.7) had disappeared from the Packers’ defense in recent weeks, and this week he showed up but not in a good way. Despite having a sack, a pressure and a hit to help his rating, he was absolutely terrible against the run. This game should take away any question as to if Matthews should be Defensive Player of the Year.

    Last year’s Defensive Player of the Year also came up short in this game. CB Charles Woodson (-4.9) missed three tackles in the game, and also allowed three catches for 59 yards. It is Woodson’s third-straight game with a negative rating.


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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    From up in central NY...

    Eagles Giants should be a good one to watch. Were I a gambling man I wouldn't go anywhere near this one. This will go along way toward answering the 'Is Vick Superman' question. The Giants defense could be his kryptonite.

    I know I'm getting the Jets/Steelers for my late CBS game. Anyone know if thats a feature game? My 1 PM would have been the Bills and I have no idea who I get because of the blackout
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    2.) Steelers Beating the Jets: would give the Pats the #1 AFC playoff seed, meaning a first round bye, and home field throughout the play-offs. 

    Shouldn't that be Jets beat Steelers?
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    Some key matchups this week, not only for playoff positioning but for contextual strength, as well.

    St. Louis and Kansas City are looking to hold onto tenuous division leads. The Chefs are going to need to win out to hold off a San Dago team that has three weeks of nothing left on its schedule. With a question mark at quarterback (and coming off an embarassing beat-down at the hands of the team that is coming to supplant them) I just don't see how they do it. Of course, a Rams win interferes with my Arizona Cardinals quest to "win" the NFC West at 6-10. Somehow, some way, the Chefs get this thing done.

    Unlike the above match-up, Philly at New Jersey (Blue) is a battle of first-place teams that can actually claim to belong there. The Jints are a plague on quarterbacks, as we saw yet again against the once-and-future Minnesota Vikings in Detroit (???) Monday night. If they can pound on Vick some more, and avoid the kind of defensive lapses that the lightning-strike Philly offense feeds on, the Jints can control this game . . .   until Manning Jr. starts turning the ball over . . .  which he will. Iggles in a squeaker here.

    Expect Manning Sr. and the Colts to restore the natural order of things to the AFC South. The Jagwires won a shoot-out . . .  on the ground, oddly enough . . .  with Oakland last weekend and appear to be designed to take the Colts down. But they won't. Call it a hunch. Jags are going to wake up and realize what's at stake . . .   and that they're the Jags. Colts comfortably.

    New Jersey (Green) rolls into Bitchburgh for the next beating on their "Paper Tigers 2010 Tour." The Steelers still control their own density in the playoff hunt, but needed a timely breakdown to escape Baltimore and were able to defeat the Bungles without benefit of an offensive touchdown. Two pretty good defenses and no offenses makes me glad I won't be subjected to this snoozefest. Steelers by default. Sanchize will turn it over, Roethlisberger will turn it over less.

    N'awlins travels to Baltimore for a battle of teams that just might be headed in opposite directions. If the Ravens are that fast-talkin', hard-hitting team they like everyone to believe they are, we'll know after this game. My guess is that they're not. If the weather cooperates, Drew Brees should be able to pick them apart and wear that defense out -- which seems to be the trick against Baltimore. Home field should keep it close, but it's hard not to like the Saints here.

    If Erin Rodgers can get his skirt on for the game, the Packers may have a chance at New England.

    Ha . . .  ha, ha!

    No they won't.

    Pat's in another laugher.
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