Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

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    Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

         Hard to believe that there's just three games left in the regular season! Even harder to believe what a juggernaut that our young Patriots' team has become! Come rain, snow, sleet, wind, or bitter cold, the Boys in Blue have shown the mental toughness to come out ready.

         Here are my week 15 picks, with the "Game of the Week" being:

    1.) (9-4) Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5) @ (9-4) New York Giants: This game will likely decide who wins the NFC East. Not only that, but there's a chance that the loser of this game might miss the play-offs altogether. Philly has won five of their last six, including a win over the Giants. Since the loss to Philly, the Giants have won three in a row. Both teams have injury issues. The Eagles likely will be without DE/OLB Brandon Graham (IR - knee), MLB Stewart Bradley (elbow) and CB Asante Samuel (knee). On the other hand, the Giants appear to be getting healthy just in time for the stretch drive. The only thing stopping the Giants from becoming an elite team is inconsistency from Eli Manning, who is having a Jeckle and Hyde season. Goober has thrown 24 TD passes, but also has tossed 19 interceptions:
    PICK: Giants;

    2.) (5-8) San Francisco 49ers (+8.5) @ (7-6) San Diego Chargers: The Bolts continue on their late charge to capture yet another AFC West title. Barring another special teams nightmare, they'll continue on the march:
    PICK: Chargers;

    3.) (8-5) Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5) @ (6-7) St. Louis Rams: Matt Cassel may need another week of rest before he's able to take to the field. Without him, the Chiefs have no chance:
    PICK: Rams;

    4.) (5-8) Houston Texans (+2) @ (5-8) Tennessee Titans: Two bad teams. One has to win. 
    PICK: Titans;

    5.) (8-5) Jacksonville Jaguars (+5) @ (7-6) Indianapolis Colts: Lose this game, and the Colts will not only fail to win the AFC South, but will fail to make the play-offs:
    PICK: Colts;

    6.) (4-9) Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) @ (1-12) Carolina Panthers: The Panthers are actually favored to win a game?
    PICK: Cardinals;

    7.) (5-8) Cleveland Browns (+1.5) @ (2-11) Cincinnati Bengals: Who will throw more interceptions in this one, Jake Delhomme or Carson Palmer? This, for the honor of Ohio??
    PICK: Browns;

    8.) (3-10) Buffalo Bills (+5.5) @ (7-6) Miami Dolphins: For some reason this season, the Dolphins have been terrors on the road, but wimps at home. Though the Bills have only three wins, they seem to play hard each week:
    PICK: Bills;

    9.) (5-8) Washington Redskins (+6) @ (4-9) Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys have noticeably improved under interim coach Jason Garrett. The 'Skins are a mistake waiting to happen:
    PICK: Cowboys;

    10.) (8-5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ (3-10) Detroit Lions (+6): Tampa was lucky to beat the Redskins last week, and is dealing with a rash of injuries. The Lions, like the Bills, have been a scrappy/crappy team:
    PICK: Lions;

    11.) (10-3) New Orleans Saints (+2.5) @ (9-4) Baltimore Ravens: The Saints of late appear to be rounding into playoff form. The Ravens don't score enough to keep up with the Drew Brees' offense:
    PICK: Saints; 

    12.) (11-2) Atlanta Falcons @ (6-7) Seattle Seahawks (+6): Though the Falcons have a good team, they have clearly benefited from playing an easy schedule. Case and point:
    PICK: Falcons;

    13.) (9-4) New York Jets (+6) @ (10-3) Pittsburgh Steelers: The Jets have yet to psychologically recover from their Foxborough flop. Rex Ryan appears to be lost, and is dissing his defense...while their "D" is turning on Rex, and their anemic offense. Meanwhile, the Goths await:
    PICK: Steelers;

    14.) (3-10) Denver Broncos (+6.5) @ (6-7) Oakland Raiders: Too bad that the Raiders get to face these chumps again:
    PICK: Raiders;

    15.) (8-5) Green Bay Packers (+9.5) @ (11-2) New England Patriots: Evidently the odds-makers don't think that Aaron Rodgers will be ready to go this coming Sunday. But, even if Rodgers did play, the Packers are a one dimensional team. Their ground attack is ranked 24th in the league. The Pats tend to feast on one dimensional teams. Win this game, and the Pats clinch the AFC East crown:
    PICK: Patriots;

    16.) (9-4) Chicago Bears (+1.5) @ (5-8) Minnesota Vikings: Look for the Bears to rebound after getting rolled in the snow:
    PICK: Bears;  

          BEST BETS: Bears, Raiders, Falcons, Cardinals, Cowboys.

         Thoughts...particularly on the Pats' game?   
                       
     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from p-mike. Show p-mike's posts

    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    This is the week Arizona starts its run at that hotly-contested NFC West crown.

    It may not be mathematically possible, but I am rooting hard for the Cardinals to "take" the division at 6-10.




     
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

         Here's the latest on Aaron Rodgers, and the Packers' injury situation: http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/111794189.html
     
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    1.) (9-4) Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5) @ (9-4) New York Giants: PICK: Giants;

    2.) (5-8) San Francisco 49ers (+8.5) @ (7-6) San Diego Chargers: The Bolts continue on their late charge to capture yet another AFC West title. Barring another special teams nightmare, they'll continue on the march:
    PICK: Chargers;

    3.) (8-5) Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5) @ (6-7) St. Louis Rams: PICK: Chiefs;

    4.) (5-8) Houston Texans (+2) @ (5-8) Tennessee Titans: PICK: Texans;

    5.) (8-5) Jacksonville Jaguars (+5) @ (7-6) Indianapolis Colts: PICK: Jags;

    6.) (4-9) Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) @ (1-12) Carolina Panthers: PICK: Cardinals;

    7.) (5-8) Cleveland Browns (+1.5) @ (2-11) Cincinnati Bengals: PICK: Browns;

    8.) (3-10) Buffalo Bills (+5.5) @ (7-6) Miami Dolphins: PICK: Dolphins;

    9.) (5-8) Washington Redskins (+6) @ (4-9) Dallas Cowboys: PICK: Cowboys;

    10.) (8-5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ (3-10) Detroit Lions (+6): PICK: Bucs;

    11.) (10-3) New Orleans Saints (+2.5) @ (9-4) Baltimore Ravens: PICK: Ravens; 

    12.) (11-2) Atlanta Falcons @ (6-7) Seattle Seahawks (+6): PICK: Falcons;

    13.) (9-4) New York Jets (+6) @ (10-3) Pittsburgh Steelers: PICK: Steelers;

    14.) (3-10) Denver Broncos (+6.5) @ (6-7) Oakland Raiders: PICK: Raiders;

    15.) (8-5) Green Bay Packers (+9.5) @ (11-2) New England Patriots: PICK: Patriots;

    16.) (9-4) Chicago Bears (+1.5) @ (5-8) Minnesota VikingsPICK: Bears;  

     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from Paul_K. Show Paul_K's posts

    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    As you might have guessed, New England continues to pull away into the stratosphere above all sorts of great teams that they just whaled on.

    Green Bay played one half of one football game without Aaron Rodgers, and that may have dragged them down a bit but not too much.  The full impact of having a hole at quarterback may not be reflected in Green Bay’s power rating.  Green Bay fans are of course hoping that Rodgers will return as if nothing had happened, but we just won’t know.  If Aaron Rodgers shows up (and he’s healthy) then my numbers only have New England by 8, but I’ll listen to non-numeric arguments that Brady’s on a red-hot streak.

    1   ne   15.2   (last wk. 1)

    2   pit   12.0   (last wk. 4)

    3   gb   11.9   (last wk. 2)

    4   nyg   11.8   (last wk. 6)

    5   atl   11.8   (last wk. 5)

    6   phi   11.3   (last wk. 3)

    7   bal   11.1   (last wk. 7)

    8   sd   10.6   (last wk. 11)

    9   no   10.5   (last wk. 10)

    10   mia   9.7   (last wk. 13)

    11   nyj   9.4   (last wk. 9)

    12   chi   9.2   (last wk. 8)

    13   jac   8.7   (last wk. 12)

    14   ind   8.1   (last wk. 14)

    15   dal   8.0   (last wk. 22)

    16   ten   7.8   (last wk. 24)

    17   tb   7.8   (last wk. 20)

    18   cle   7.7   (last wk. 16)

    19   min   7.3   (last wk. 15)

    20   det   7.3   (last wk. 23)

    21   hou   7.3   (last wk. 18)

    22   oak   6.8   (last wk. 21)

    23   sf   6.8   (last wk. 25)

    24   stl   6.7   (last wk. 17)

    25   kc   6.6   (last wk. 19)

    26   buf   6.3   (last wk. 26)

    27   cin   5.4   (last wk. 27)

    28   was   5.2   (last wk. 28)

    29   sea   2.2   (last wk. 29)

    30   car   2.0   (last wk. 31)

    31   az   1.9   (last wk. 32)

    32   den   1.8   (last wk. 30)

    Upcoming games:

    Home/Visitor/My points/The Betting Public’s opinion / Difference

    sf   sd     8.7   8.5   0.2

    buf   mia     8.1   5.5   2.6

    cle   cin     -0.4   1.5   -1.9

    det   tb     3.8   6   -2.2

    hou   ten     3.9   2   1.9

    phi   nyg     3.8   2.5   1.3

    no   bal     3.8   2.5   1.3

    az   car     3.2   2.5   0.7

    jac   ind     2.2   5   -2.8

    kc   stl     3.2   1.5   1.7

    was   dal     7.3   6   1.3

    atl   sea     -11.4   -6   -5.4

    nyj   pit     6.9   6   0.9

    den   oak     10.5   6.5   4.0

    gb   ne     8.0   9.5   -1.5

    chi   min     0.2   1.5   -1.3

    Note to Tex:  Yahoo Sports says that Detroit is playing at Tampa Bay. 

    Game of the Week:

    atl   sea     -11.4   -6   -5.4

    New England all over the Jets sure worked two weeks ago.  Last week’s game of the week was Atlanta to punch out Carolina, and that one sure worked 31-10.  Time to ride Atlanta again over another bozo. 

    Minor call

    den   oak     10.5   6.5   4.0

    I hate calling anything for Oakland.  Meh!

     
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

         Dream scenario for week 15:

         1.) Pats beat Packers: Should this happen, the Pats would merely need to beat the Bills in Buffalo, or the Dolphins at home, to secure home field advantage throughout the play-offs...regardless of what happens between the Jets and Steelers. But this, in conjunction with: 

         2.) Steelers Beating the Jets: would give the Pats the AFC East title, and to win just one of two remaining games, at Buffalo, or home against Miami, to gain the AFC's #1 seed. If the Jets beat the Steelers, again, this would require that the Pats win one of their two remaining games to clinch the #1 seed.  

         3.) Jaguars Beat the Colts: If this occurs, the Jags would clinch the AFC South title, and would likely eliminate the Colts from playoff competition: http://www.examiner.com/indianapolis-colts-in-indianapolis/perspective-please-an-early-look-at-indianapolis-colts-jaguars.
         The only silver lining in an Indy win would be that the Colts would be highly motivated to beat the Raiders in Oakland, the following weekend.

         4.) Denver Beats the Raiders in Oakland: Probably, only in a dream would this be possible. The last time these two teams met was in week 7 in Denver...where the Raiders annihilated the Broncos, 59-14. An Oakland loss would eliminate them from playoff competition, and would likely lead to the Patriots gaining a top 15 overall draft choice. With tough games remaining thereafter against the Colts at home and the Chiefs on the road, I can envision where a loss to Denver would lead to two more losses, and a 6-10 final record.
         The only silver lining to a Raiders' win is that they'll be motivated to derail Indy's playoff hopes, by beating the Colts the following week, in Oakland.

         5.) San Francisco 49ers Upset San Diego Chargers: Huge Thursday night game for both teams. A loss to the 49ers would likely eliminate the Chargers' post-season hopes. On the other hand, should the Raiders beat Denver as expected, they could win the AFC West by beating Indy at home, and the Chiefs, at Arrowhead.
         If San Diego wins, they'll have a great chance of winning the AFC West...as KC has a tough upcoming game at St. Louis, before finishing at home with the Titans and the Raiders. Meanwhile, San Diego's remaining games are cupcakes on the road, against Cincinnati and Denver.

         6.) Kansas City Chiefs beat the Rams in St. Louis: inching closer to winning the AFC West crown over San Diego and Oakland. Matt Cassel is practicing, and will likely start: http://chiefsblog.kansascity.com/?q=node/1598. But, if he can't go, there's no way that the Chiefs win this game: St. Louis needs a win to solidify it's chances of winning the worst division in football, the NFC West.       

         7.) Arizona beats the Panthers, in Carolina:  A loss here by the Panthers likely secures the 33rd overall pick for the Pats...as Caolina's final two games are roadies, against the Steelers and Falcons.      
     
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    Here's some dirt on the Packers.  It's not just their quarterback.

    When QB Aaron Rodgers (+1.6) got taken out of the game with a concussion, Packers fans were curious to see how QB Matt Flynn (-2.4) would perform. He ended up with a terrible performance, only completing three of his ten passes beyond 10 yards and missing on some shorter passes as well. He was only under pressure eight times as the Packers started to use more blockers as the game went on, but in those pressures he threw an interception and got sacked twice.

    It felt like LOLB Clay Matthews (-4.7) had disappeared from the Packers’ defense in recent weeks, and this week he showed up but not in a good way. Despite having a sack, a pressure and a hit to help his rating, he was absolutely terrible against the run. This game should take away any question as to if Matthews should be Defensive Player of the Year.

    Last year’s Defensive Player of the Year also came up short in this game. CB Charles Woodson (-4.9) missed three tackles in the game, and also allowed three catches for 59 yards. It is Woodson’s third-straight game with a negative rating.

    http://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2010/12/14/re-focused-week-14-packers-at-lions/



     
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"



    From up in central NY...

    Eagles Giants should be a good one to watch. Were I a gambling man I wouldn't go anywhere near this one. This will go along way toward answering the 'Is Vick Superman' question. The Giants defense could be his kryptonite.

    I know I'm getting the Jets/Steelers for my late CBS game. Anyone know if thats a feature game? My 1 PM would have been the Bills and I have no idea who I get because of the blackout
     
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    2.) Steelers Beating the Jets: would give the Pats the #1 AFC playoff seed, meaning a first round bye, and home field throughout the play-offs. 

    Shouldn't that be Jets beat Steelers?
     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from p-mike. Show p-mike's posts

    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    Some key matchups this week, not only for playoff positioning but for contextual strength, as well.

    St. Louis and Kansas City are looking to hold onto tenuous division leads. The Chefs are going to need to win out to hold off a San Dago team that has three weeks of nothing left on its schedule. With a question mark at quarterback (and coming off an embarassing beat-down at the hands of the team that is coming to supplant them) I just don't see how they do it. Of course, a Rams win interferes with my Arizona Cardinals quest to "win" the NFC West at 6-10. Somehow, some way, the Chefs get this thing done.

    Unlike the above match-up, Philly at New Jersey (Blue) is a battle of first-place teams that can actually claim to belong there. The Jints are a plague on quarterbacks, as we saw yet again against the once-and-future Minnesota Vikings in Detroit (???) Monday night. If they can pound on Vick some more, and avoid the kind of defensive lapses that the lightning-strike Philly offense feeds on, the Jints can control this game . . .   until Manning Jr. starts turning the ball over . . .  which he will. Iggles in a squeaker here.

    Expect Manning Sr. and the Colts to restore the natural order of things to the AFC South. The Jagwires won a shoot-out . . .  on the ground, oddly enough . . .  with Oakland last weekend and appear to be designed to take the Colts down. But they won't. Call it a hunch. Jags are going to wake up and realize what's at stake . . .   and that they're the Jags. Colts comfortably.

    New Jersey (Green) rolls into Bitchburgh for the next beating on their "Paper Tigers 2010 Tour." The Steelers still control their own density in the playoff hunt, but needed a timely breakdown to escape Baltimore and were able to defeat the Bungles without benefit of an offensive touchdown. Two pretty good defenses and no offenses makes me glad I won't be subjected to this snoozefest. Steelers by default. Sanchize will turn it over, Roethlisberger will turn it over less.

    N'awlins travels to Baltimore for a battle of teams that just might be headed in opposite directions. If the Ravens are that fast-talkin', hard-hitting team they like everyone to believe they are, we'll know after this game. My guess is that they're not. If the weather cooperates, Drew Brees should be able to pick them apart and wear that defense out -- which seems to be the trick against Baltimore. Home field should keep it close, but it's hard not to like the Saints here.

    If Erin Rodgers can get his skirt on for the game, the Packers may have a chance at New England.

    Ha . . .  ha, ha!

    No they won't.

    Pat's in another laugher.
     
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    Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week"

    In Response to Re: Week 15 NFL PIcks and "Game of the Week":
    [QUOTE]2.) Steelers Beating the Jets: would give the Pats the #1 AFC playoff seed, meaning a first round bye, and home field throughout the play-offs.  Shouldn't that be Jets beat Steelers?
    Posted by Evil2010[/QUOTE]

         Upon further review, I don't think that the Pats can clinch the top spot, no matter what happens. Here's where I got this from: http://www.examiner.com/sports-in-boston/patriots-could-clinch-first-round-bye-number-one-overall-seed-this-sunday 
     
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