Re: WEEK 4 NFL PICKS and "Game of the Week"
posted at 9/29/2010 9:42 PM EDT
In Response to WEEK 4 NFL PICKS and "Game of the Week"
Trying to bounce back from a horrible week of picks. If the record on my picks last week were an NFL teams' season record, that team would own a top 12 pick in the upcoming draft. Brutal!! The only thing that salvaged my week was that I was 3-1 in my "Best Bets" pick means that if I were to place the farm on any games...it would be these. But...again...I encourage no one to bet on games. It takes away the pure joy of watching football. That said, here are my picks, with the "Game of the Week" being: 1.) Baltimore Ravens (+1.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers: Huge divisional battle which will likely have a great impact on who wins this division. The Steelers are a surprising 3-0, while the Ravens are 2-1. No team is currently playing better defense than the Goths. The team has rallied over the Roethlisberger suspension in a similar fashion as the Patriots rallied around each other after "spygate". The Ravens barely got by the Cleveland Browns at home last week...and star RB Ray Rice's knee is dinged up. In what should be a low scoring game,... PICK: Steelers; 2.) Denver Broncos (+6.5) @ Tennessee Titans: The Titans appear to be too physical for the M.A.S.H. unit that is the Denver Broncos. Titans' RB Chris Johnson is due for a monster game: PICK: Titans; 3.) Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns (+3): So long as the Bengals contain Cleveland's only weapon, Josh Cribbs, they should win this game by more than 3 points: PICK: Bengals; 4.) Detroit Lions (+14.5) @ Green Bay Packers: The Packers are undoubtedly still scratching their heads, wondering how they let that game against the Bears last Monday nights get away from them. They'll likely take it out on the Lions. But, 14.5 points is too many to pass up: PICK: Lions; 5.) Carolina Panthers (+13.5) @ New Orleans Saints: Last years' playoff hero, Saints' PK Garrett Hartley, missed a 29 yard chip shot, which cost his team the Atlanta game. It may also cost Hartley his job. Though Carolina has big time QB problems, they still possesses a solid running game, and a decent defense. As was the case with the Lions above, I like the points: PICK: Panthers; 6.) San Francisco 49ers (+7) @ Atlanta Falcons: The 49ers are, surprisingly, a mess. The modest hope that the one time #1 overall pick in the 2005 draft, QB Alex Smith, would at least be able to competently manage games for them, now appears to be a pipe dream. Meanwhile, no QB is currently playing better than Atlanta's Matt Ryan: PICK: Falcons; 7.) Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams (+1): The 'Hawks are coming off a big win over the Chargers, 27-20, in Seattle. But, when you consider that the Chargers rolled up 518 yards of total offense against the young Seahawk defensive unit, and that 14 of their 27 points came as a result of two Leon Washington 90-plus yards kick-off return TDs, the win does not seem quite so impressive. Meanwhile, the Rams beat the Redskins last week, and should have beaten the Raiders the week before. Rookie QB Sam Bradford looks like the real deal. But, star RB Steven Jackson is out indefinitely with a groin injury. PICK: Rams; 8.) New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (+5.5): Jets QB Mark Sanchez has silenced his critics with back to back splendid performances against the Patriots and Dolphins. They appear to have too many weapons for the Bills, on both sides of the ball: PICK: Jets; 9.) Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+8.5): This is a game that the Jags must have, if they are to salvage anything from this season. Their QB, David Gerrard, has been awful this year. In fact, things have gotten so bad for the Jaguars at QB that they picked up Trent Edwards, who was released only a day or two ago by Buffalo. With their QB problems, I can't see them keeping up with the "Manning Machine": PICK: Colts; 10.) Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders (+3): The Dallas Cowboys indirectly did the Patriots a favor by blasting the Texans last week. Being on the receiving end of such a physical thumping should ensure that the Texans will be chomping at the bit to play Oakland. Still, star Texans WR Andre Johnson is dinged up (ankle), and the Texans' best offensive lineman, LT Duane Brown, has been suspended for violating the league's substance abuse policy. Meanwhile, the Raiders can't be feeling too good about themselves after blowing one to the Cardinals, 16-14...as a result of normally dependable PK Sebastien Janokowski missing a 32 yard FG in the final seconds. But, the Raiders have upgraded at QB by replacing Jason Campbell with Bruce Gradkowski: PICK: Raiders; 11.) Arizona Cardinals (+8) @ San Diego Chargers: The Chargers have to be furious with themselves after blowing last weeks' game in Seattle. PICK: Chargers; 12.) Washington Redskins (+6) @ Philadelphia Eagles: Donovan comes home! It will be interesting to see what kind of reception he gets in the City of Brotherly Love. The best thing that happened to the Eagles this season may be Kevin Kolb getting dinged...which opened the door for Michael Vick. Like him or not, Vick has provided a spark to what had been a very staid offense...and a very mediocre football team. But, I have to believe that McNabb's new teammates won't allow their boy to get dissed in Philly: PICK: Redskins; 13.) Chicago Bears (+4) @ New York Giants: Horrid red zone play, and a questionable chop block call in the end zone...which led to a 9 point swing, cost the Giants dearly last week. Meanwhile, somehow, some way, the Bears keep getting it done. This is a must win game for the Giants: PICK: Giants; 14.) New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins (+1): Huge divisional game on Monday night. The Patriots haven't beaten a good team on the road since 2007. The Dolphins can ill afford to lose back to back divisional games on their home field, to their chief divisional rivals. The Patriots' defense has been awful thus far. Who will cover 6'5" WR Brandon Marshall? Will the Patriots be able to stop the run? Their "D" has been so bad, that it practically forces their Brady led offense to score on every possession. They must play well on both sides of the ball in the red zone, and keep keep Miami OLB Cameron Wake off Brady's back. If they lose this game, expect a carbon copy of the 2009 season, at best. My head says Miami wins, but my heart says: PICK: Patriots. Best Bets: Chargers, Jets, Falcons, Bengals.
Posted by TexasPat3
Tough year to pick so far. i just don't see the Raiders, Beating Houston or coming close to covering +3. Idon't trust the Chargers at all this year yet.