Re: Will McDaniels Be Pass Happy or Mix Things Up?
posted at 5/14/2012 12:49 PM EDT
In Response to
Re: Will McDaniels Be Pass Happy or Mix Things Up?:
In Response to Re: Will McDaniels Be Pass Happy or Mix Things Up? : This is the point I think many are missing about how the NFL works. What you're looking for in the playoffs against what are ostensibly the best teams left standing (and I think BB or any other NFL HC would attest to this) is: "to put yourself in a position to win". In 5 SBs in the BB era we have had that opportunity. SB XXXVI - D allows the Rams to tie the game with 1:30 left. Brady drives the Pats and Vinatieri hits a 48 yard FG to win it. SB XXXVIII - D allows Panthers to score with 1:08 left. Brady drives team and AV kicks the winning FG. SB XXXIX - Eagles score with 1:48 left to get within 3. They get the ball back with :46 left and Harrison intercepts. SB XLII - Brady hits Moss to take the lead with 2:42 left. Giants need a TD and get it with :35 left. SB XLVI - D allows Giants to take a 4 point lead with :57 left and leaving the Pats needing a TD. In each case the team was in a position to win. In 2 victories the opportunity fell to the O and they got it done. In the other victory the opportunity was really too little too late for the Eagles. In the 2 losses the opportunity fell to the D and they didn't get it done. This is what makes one team the champion and the other not. The details of the game that bring you to that "position to win" can be argued endlessly. But there is no argument when that final moment that determines victory is either grasped or flubbed.
Posted by BabeParilli
As usual, you conveniently remove the context. In each SB win, we had Weis as OC. We also had more balance with lesser talent. If we had more balance, say like for most of 2010, we win this past SB going away, likely ending up over 27 points or something.
In each SB loss in SB 46 and SB 42, we had a 40+ pass per game style offense and gameplan, which puts far more pressure on a defense, especially in a dome where it's hot and they squash more people in there than the firecode bears.
So, what you either miss or, IMO, you ignore on purose, is that our offense changed with more passing, more subbing of sets, etc, as a way to gain matchups with personnel, where in the Weis years it was far more about a traditional Perkins/Zampese style offense where it was an under center base with a run game as the backdrop. We didn't care what the other teams' D did in the Weis era. It was a simple attitude type offense where it coud be tweaked WHEN NEEDED, not just tweaked to tweak it.
This offense is completely overthought, IMO. Over-though. I don't know what else to call it. It's like out-thinking itself.
Daniel Graham was a blocking TE, A. Smith and then Dillon ran for 4 YPC and it simply moved the sticks, took time off the clock, etc, so a play like Harrison makes in SB 39 can actually occur, because he's not so gassed at the end of the game.
Look how gassed NE's D was in Indy in the 2006 playoffs. Again, got away from the run game, passed too much, too many 3 and outs or 1 minute drives, which gave Gomer and a lethal, desperate offense, tons of looks to score. And that was WITH our legends on D. Seymour, Bruschi, Vrabel, Samuel, Wilfork, and right on down the line. Ty Warren, Colvin, etc.
Our D was gassed to the gills at the end of SB 42 and SB 46. That shot of Warren, Ellis and Wilfork after Welker dropped that ball said it all. I felt the same way as them. "Are you kidding me"? We just held a potentially lethal offense to 13 points and bRady is tossing INTs or Welker is dropping 1st downs in FG range?
Just how many stops of holding a team like that to FGs, do you expect?
In reality, NE blews leads in all 5 SBs. It's a good thing STL was over-confident, John Kasay kicked that ball out of bounds and we ran A/ Smith for 26 carries already gassing Carolina's D down, and McNabb was puking late in SB 39.
Fast forward tto SB 42 AND sb 46 with loaded offensive talent, certainly in the passing area (Dillon was clearly superior at RB at that time) and our offense is actually far less efficient, which in turn hurts our D.
Put it this way, NYGs focusing on making sure they gave Eli a run game in the 1st half HELPED their own D in the second half.
We didn't do that.
They were better at using a classic formula, IMO the best one, than we were. Stinks, but the only people who can accept the blame is the coaches, O'Brien, Brady and most importantly the players who are paid to make the basic plays when it matters.