Re: Would you trade up in the draft?
posted at 5/1/2014 9:30 AM EDT
In response to msteven's comment:
I think this year, you want to get as many mid-round draft picks as possible. Trading up does not make sense. There were 100 underclassmen added to this draft. The mid-round selections could be a first rounder in a normal draft.
And this is where people go crazy cause they hear this is a deep draft. There isn't a ton of upfront talent in this draft. This draft is deep because there is a lot of potential in the middle rounds but as we've heard year in and year out with these deep drafts is 2 years down the road that most of the potential never panned out. On thing is for sure there has never been a draft that has produced more talent in the middle rounds combined then in the 1st 50 picks of a draft. There should be a number of solid players. Certainly more players with day 2 grades going deeper into the draft (maybe even into the mid 5th) but lets not go over board and think you can get a 1st round talent in the 4th. This is not true in the least. You can most likely point to a couple of positions where you can find a player in the later 3rd or mid 4th that might have gone late 2nd in a normal draft but that's not the same as getting a 1st round talent.
It's a very good and deep draft at certain positions but that doesn't mean it's loaded with tons of talent. Frankly all the hype is great for the sport and wouldn't be surprised if it's being overplayed to draw up more interest. How many times have we heard about deep drafts and then almost immediately after here that BB or other GMs just weren't enamored and decided the value was to get into the next years draft because that one was going to be so much better?
Break it down by position:
QB - Can anyone say that any of those top guys are really top 10 players? Heck most are considered fringe 1st rounders if not for it being a QB league
RB - The position has been devalued but still there are no AP's, and I think most people would say it's deep in players like Ridley and Vereen types. Nice complimentary backs, but no real stand outs.
TE - It's a weaker TE draft. Ebron is the only sure 1st rounder. ASJ, Amaro, CJ, and Niklas all have good upside but each have their question marks this is not a deep position
OL - Some good upfront talent at T but no more than any other draft and G and C aren't well represented upfront. Some very good talents in the mid rounds with high development upside but no one you can stick your finger on as a day 1 starter really
WR - easily the deepest position in the draft and has 1st rounders going to late 2nd and day 2 kids lasting till early-mid 5th
DL - maybe 4-5 guys you would say are 1st rounders but most as day 2 type of kids or have question marks (like Tuitt and Nix's injures and Hageman being raw). Lots of upside and goes into the late 4th early 5th range but most would be day 2 kids in any draft. Good upside but most need work
LB - Depending on where you see Mack and Barr playing in the Pro's and maybe Mosley depending on how you feel about him but most of the rest are fringe 1st or day 2 type talents and most of those fringe 1st would be day 2 in a normal draft. Some good solid players to be found in rounds 2-4 but after that you are looking at a bunch of 4th and 5th type LBs (think Fletcher types)
S - is a very weak position this year. If Harmon was in this draft no one would question a 3rd on him. If T. Wilson was in this draft no one would question a 4th for him. That's how little talent and depth there is at this position
CB - some good upfront talent but it drops off quickly (maybe 12 players deep into the 2nd). Not a lot of upside after the 2nd or so. You have 2 players from Liberty college and Lindenwood who are considered top 15 CB's in this draft so the drop off is pretty quick after that.
As I said very solid overall draft and you have a lot of day 2 type of kids which some will develop but I have a feeling when all is said and done you won't be hearing about the high level of talent to come out of the draft but more of the, you found solid contributors deep into the draft. This team isn't lacking solid contributors they are lacking upfront talent.