Re: 11 out of 15 AL Teams...
posted at 6/23/2013 6:17 PM EDT
In response to jimedfred's comment:
Although I sympathize with S5's overall idea, I respectfully disagree about methods and plans. Nobody without a foolproof crystal ball can honestly say that "player so-and-so " will definitely be a major part of a winning team in Year X.
The two competing models are : A) bite the bullet, allow for 2 to 3 "development " years ( i.e. LOSING years) while playing a core of "kids" in the major leagues. This allows you to identify who your stalwarts are going forward for the long term. NOT a viable option for a team like Boston, whose fans expect annual contention , at least through end of July every year
Second model is : B ) develop the farm as much as possible, supplement the core with judicious trades and F.A. acquisitions, and make in-season trades to fill apparent gaps / shortfalls. In this model you usually break in rookies to M.L. roster 2 or maybe 3 (tops) major positions a year. This is also obviously the most difficult option, as it demands constant trade-offs between short- and long- term moves. Between 2003 and 2009 the Sox excelled at it, then went a bit overboard in the 2010-2011 offseason. The John Lackey contract was perhaps the precursor , and then Crawford & Gonzalez the epitome.
Third way ? The modern Dodgers Option : All of the above , spend fortunes on just about every free agent, salary dump trade, international free agent, etc. there is. Not working so well in early going, except for Yasiel Puig.
As most here including myself tend to over-value our own prospects, mentally penciling them in as future stars, we need to take deep breath and relax. Don't sell the whole farm, but be ready and WILLING to make reasonable moves.
Were I in Ben C's shoes, and had unlimited dollar discretion from Mr. Henry ? Middlebrooks and a 3rd tier prospect to Milwaukee for Aramis Ramirez. Barnes, Britton, Brentz , Gomes plus cash, ( and 1 or 2 prospects NOT named Ranaudo, DeLaRosa, or Bogaerts ) for Rick Nolasco and Giancarlo Stanton ; POSSIBLY adding Workman for Steve Cishek.
Anyone can praise kids like Renaudo, De La Rosa, Barnes, Britton, Workman and Webster. Although we appear to have more young depth than previous years, how many will actually impact our rotation again like Clay and when? Or will most be like Doubront, Aceves, Miller, Bard and Morales who have good stuff but struggle with their control?
The bottom line is we continue to sign guys like Dempster, or rehab cases to bridge a gap that may never really close. I say we can afford to trade a few guys and still keep our future bright, with Bradley and Bogy being our only two untouchables at this point along with Iggy. We need to start throwing some possible packages/names out there in hopes of improving our future, like Tampa did with Shields.