Re: 7 Qualified Offer Free Agents have signed, 6 are left
posted at 12/13/2013 8:33 PM EST
Since their 1st pick will be after 60, signing more QO free agents is only going to force them to give up lower and lower draft picks. It's actually a smart move to sign them all in one year, rather than spread them out and lose five 1st rounders.
Totally agree. Which makes me wonder if next year is the year for the Red Sox to plunge into the FA market with 5-6 good starters available and maybe 70 million to play with. Which might make a 2 year offer for Drew make more sense then a 1 year offer. Then maybe we still get the pick for Drew after 2015, where as after 2014, he might just be only a 3rd rounder saved. Especially if we extend Lester and trade Peavy. Might also explain the Papi 1 year extension. The 2 year deal for Napoli aswell. Go crazy in 2014 with FA then get some picks in 2015.
Just something to think about.
A quick look at next winter does show a lot of budget room, but also a lot of big shoes to fill that could be costly through free agency. How do you replace Lester, Uehara and Papi with a free agent at less than $17-20M a year?
Here's a look at 2015 as of now, assuming Lester, Peavy, Papi and others are free agents next winter:
No Papi, Peavy, Dempster, Lester, Pierzynski, Gomes, Uehara, Ross, Badenhop, Morales, Miller.
1st of all, we could get picks for Lester, Papi, and maybe Peavy after a big 2014.
Average Contract Salary (used for the luxury limit budget)
4M Breslow (club option)
Then the arbs:
Tazawa 2 of 3
Doubront 1 of 3
Carp 2 of 3
Nava 1 of 3
de la Rosa 1 of 4
Snyder, Villareal, Middlebrooks, Bradley, Bogaerts, Britton, Butler, Hassan, Holt, Lavarnway, Vazquez, Webster, Wilson, Workman, Wright
Rule 5 eligible player after 2014:
Barnes, Coyle, de la Cruz, Luis Diaz, C Martin, M Pena, Noe Ramirez, H Ramos, T Shaw
We could have about 120-130M to spend and still stay under the limit. That's a lot of QO free agents to sign, if we chose that route.