Re: A Big
posted at 1/19/2014 12:24 PM EST
In response to notin's comment:
In response to ctredsoxfanhugh's comment:
In response to royf19's comment:
In response to notin's comment:
Sell high on Middlebrooks...
Why? If he's the player of the final two months of last year or the first three month of 2012, why would you want to trade a RH power hitting 3B. They're hard to find nowadays.
People forget how tough a write injury can be on a player, even when they come back it can take them up to a year to recover at the plate. That same injury that WMB indured seemed to take an entire season away from Big Papi until he was back to normal. People forget he was the #1 ranked prospect in our system 2 years ago for good reason...if he is showing that in ST then I think the move you make is you trade Drew.
Yes we could send Boggy down...but why? what else does he have to prove?
At this point we are rationilizing keeping Drew in a hypothetical scanerio in which we have zero use for him
And not long before that, he was not ranked in the top ten at all.
He had one terific minor league season, and spent less time as a ranked prospect that a lot of other less distinguished names (Lars Anderson, for example).
And he still has the same major flaws in his game, even back then. Yes, he has power. but he does not have good plate dicipline, strike zone recongnition, or contact ability. That has ALWAYS been there, and his ability to go through off-and-on hot stretches that make or break his season is what he has always gotten by on.
Middlebrooks does not have a skillset I have a lot of faith in, and his red hot 2012 that rocketed him through the system appears to be more of the utlier than the norm. Unless you look beyond the traditional split, and then the flaws are still there...
I think it's unfair to say he had just one terrific year in the minors. Not all prospects are going to tear it up from the get go. His minor league trek was that of consistent improvement from on year to the next as he went on to higher level.
His only hiccup was 16 games in Pawtucket at the end of 2011 but then he was great at the start of 2012.
Middlebrooks was then great in the first three months in the majors of 2012 before he got hurt then the last two months 2013. The only time he struggled the last two years was the first two months of 2013. So why isn't that the outlier, rather than all the times he's been good.
As for flaws, all players have flaws. He's going to strike out a lot, but so do a lot of players nowadays. As for OBP, his career OBP for about 1,900 minor league PAs is .332 to go along with a .275 BA. It's not a great leap to suggest he can do that in the majors.
He was .288/.325 in three months of 2012 and .276/.329 in the last two months last year. With his power, that's very acceptable, and players do get better. There still seems to be more evidence that the two months at the beginning of last year is the outlier when you consider his coming back from the wrist injury and the stereotypical sophomore slump. Teams made an adjustment on how to pitch to him and it took him awhile to adjust.
But when you look at how he ended the year, it's pretty good evidence that he learned to make adjustments too.